Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance places September 14 maximum temperatures in the 27–32 °C range under a northeast monsoon flow, with a departing tropical cyclone over the South China Sea and building high pressure favoring brief sunshine interspersed with isolated showers. Model consensus and recent runs show peak readings most likely near 31 °C, though modest variations in convective timing, cloud cover, or wind direction could push the daily high to 32 °C or hold it at 30 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 31 °C and 32 °C reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty in afternoon instability and boundary-layer moisture. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 14 de septiembre?
31°C 41%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
41%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
26°C o menos
$323 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,260 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,960 Vol.
16%
31°C
$490 Vol.
41%
32°C
$1,966 Vol.
34%
33°C
$360 Vol.
10%
34°C
$615 Vol.
1%
35°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
36°C o más
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance places September 14 maximum temperatures in the 27–32 °C range under a northeast monsoon flow, with a departing tropical cyclone over the South China Sea and building high pressure favoring brief sunshine interspersed with isolated showers. Model consensus and recent runs show peak readings most likely near 31 °C, though modest variations in convective timing, cloud cover, or wind direction could push the daily high to 32 °C or hold it at 30 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 31 °C and 32 °C reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty in afternoon instability and boundary-layer moisture. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,660Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance places September 14 maximum temperatures in the 27–32 °C range under a northeast monsoon flow, with a departing tropical cyclone over the South China Sea and building high pressure favoring brief sunshine interspersed with isolated showers. Model consensus and recent runs show peak readings most likely near 31 °C, though modest variations in convective timing, cloud cover, or wind direction could push the daily high to 32 °C or hold it at 30 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 31 °C and 32 °C reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty in afternoon instability and boundary-layer moisture. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,660Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance places September 14 maximum temperatures in the 27–32 °C range under a northeast monsoon flow, with a departing tropical cyclone over the South China Sea and building high pressure favoring brief sunshine interspersed with isolated showers. Model consensus and recent runs show peak readings most likely near 31 °C, though modest variations in convective timing, cloud cover, or wind direction could push the daily high to 32 °C or hold it at 30 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 31 °C and 32 °C reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty in afternoon instability and boundary-layer moisture. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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