Recent forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 14, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with light easterly winds and dew points around 23–24°C. Typical September climatology features minimum temperatures averaging 24–25°C, and current conditions show no strong cooling mechanisms such as enhanced cloud cover or frontal passages that would push readings notably lower. Scattered showers expected during the day may limit daytime heating but offer only modest overnight relief. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the most likely minimum, reflecting slight upward model bias in recent runs and the narrow historical range for this period, while the smaller probabilities assigned to 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling and any localized variations across urban stations. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de septiembre?
27°C 60%
26°C 23%
25°C 7%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
60%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 60%
26°C 23%
25°C 7%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$121 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$454 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$220 Vol.
7%
25°C
$620 Vol.
7%
26°C
$648 Vol.
23%
27°C
$1,505 Vol.
60%
28°C
$901 Vol.
7%
29°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$618 Vol.
<1%
31°C o más
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 14, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with light easterly winds and dew points around 23–24°C. Typical September climatology features minimum temperatures averaging 24–25°C, and current conditions show no strong cooling mechanisms such as enhanced cloud cover or frontal passages that would push readings notably lower. Scattered showers expected during the day may limit daytime heating but offer only modest overnight relief. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the most likely minimum, reflecting slight upward model bias in recent runs and the narrow historical range for this period, while the smaller probabilities assigned to 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling and any localized variations across urban stations. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$5,157Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 14, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with light easterly winds and dew points around 23–24°C. Typical September climatology features minimum temperatures averaging 24–25°C, and current conditions show no strong cooling mechanisms such as enhanced cloud cover or frontal passages that would push readings notably lower. Scattered showers expected during the day may limit daytime heating but offer only modest overnight relief. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the most likely minimum, reflecting slight upward model bias in recent runs and the narrow historical range for this period, while the smaller probabilities assigned to 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling and any localized variations across urban stations. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,157Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 14, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with light easterly winds and dew points around 23–24°C. Typical September climatology features minimum temperatures averaging 24–25°C, and current conditions show no strong cooling mechanisms such as enhanced cloud cover or frontal passages that would push readings notably lower. Scattered showers expected during the day may limit daytime heating but offer only modest overnight relief. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the most likely minimum, reflecting slight upward model bias in recent runs and the narrow historical range for this period, while the smaller probabilities assigned to 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling and any localized variations across urban stations. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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