Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 15 high in Chongqing near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the strongest market-implied probability amid widespread cloud cover and 70–90% rain chances. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system have increased moisture and suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime maxima several degrees below mid-September climatological averages of 28–30°C. Model runs show minor spread in peak timing and intensity tied to exact rainfall onset and wind speeds around 3–5 m/s, creating tight clustering between 22–25°C outcomes. Updated observations through late September 14 and overnight model guidance will further refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 15 de septiembre?
24°C 27%
23°C 26%
22°C 22%
25°C 13%
20°C o menos
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
13%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C o más
<1%
24°C 27%
23°C 26%
22°C 22%
25°C 13%
20°C o menos
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
13%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 15 high in Chongqing near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the strongest market-implied probability amid widespread cloud cover and 70–90% rain chances. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system have increased moisture and suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime maxima several degrees below mid-September climatological averages of 28–30°C. Model runs show minor spread in peak timing and intensity tied to exact rainfall onset and wind speeds around 3–5 m/s, creating tight clustering between 22–25°C outcomes. Updated observations through late September 14 and overnight model guidance will further refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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