Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 14 show highs clustered around 30–32°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of convective showers, and sea-breeze effects that can cap afternoon warming. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports scattered thunderstorms that may limit solar heating and keep readings near 30–31°C, while any earlier clearing or stronger insolation could allow brief spikes to 32°C or higher. Recent model runs highlight modest variability in boundary-layer humidity and low-level winds, producing closely matched market probabilities as traders weigh official guidance from regional meteorological centers against historical September climatology of 31°C averages. Updated forecasts later today will likely refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
31°C 33%
32°C 31%
30°C 17%
33°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
33%
32°C
31%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C o más
2%
31°C 33%
32°C 31%
30°C 17%
33°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$223 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$248 Vol.
3%
29°C
$279 Vol.
6%
30°C
$2,544 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1,920 Vol.
33%
32°C
$1,280 Vol.
31%
33°C
$278 Vol.
13%
34°C
$275 Vol.
3%
35°C o más
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 14 show highs clustered around 30–32°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of convective showers, and sea-breeze effects that can cap afternoon warming. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports scattered thunderstorms that may limit solar heating and keep readings near 30–31°C, while any earlier clearing or stronger insolation could allow brief spikes to 32°C or higher. Recent model runs highlight modest variability in boundary-layer humidity and low-level winds, producing closely matched market probabilities as traders weigh official guidance from regional meteorological centers against historical September climatology of 31°C averages. Updated forecasts later today will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$7,623Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 14 show highs clustered around 30–32°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of convective showers, and sea-breeze effects that can cap afternoon warming. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports scattered thunderstorms that may limit solar heating and keep readings near 30–31°C, while any earlier clearing or stronger insolation could allow brief spikes to 32°C or higher. Recent model runs highlight modest variability in boundary-layer humidity and low-level winds, producing closely matched market probabilities as traders weigh official guidance from regional meteorological centers against historical September climatology of 31°C averages. Updated forecasts later today will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,623Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 14 show highs clustered around 30–32°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of convective showers, and sea-breeze effects that can cap afternoon warming. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports scattered thunderstorms that may limit solar heating and keep readings near 30–31°C, while any earlier clearing or stronger insolation could allow brief spikes to 32°C or higher. Recent model runs highlight modest variability in boundary-layer humidity and low-level winds, producing closely matched market probabilities as traders weigh official guidance from regional meteorological centers against historical September climatology of 31°C averages. Updated forecasts later today will likely refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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