Trader consensus favors minimum temperatures of 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 14, driven by the latest ensemble runs from regional and global models showing limited overnight cooling. In this subtropical coastal setting, lows hinge on factors such as cloud cover reducing radiative heat loss, light winds from the South China Sea limiting advection, and residual humidity from seasonal monsoon patterns. Urban heat island effects from dense development typically add 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. With probabilities closely grouped, even modest revisions in forecast humidity or wind fields could shift the outcome. Final readings will be confirmed by China Meteorological Administration stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
21°C o menos 64%
31°C o superior 64%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
21°C o menos
64%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
9%
29°C
<1%
30°C
17%
31°C o superior
64%
21°C o menos 64%
31°C o superior 64%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$0 Vol.
64%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$38 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C o superior
$0 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors minimum temperatures of 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 14, driven by the latest ensemble runs from regional and global models showing limited overnight cooling. In this subtropical coastal setting, lows hinge on factors such as cloud cover reducing radiative heat loss, light winds from the South China Sea limiting advection, and residual humidity from seasonal monsoon patterns. Urban heat island effects from dense development typically add 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. With probabilities closely grouped, even modest revisions in forecast humidity or wind fields could shift the outcome. Final readings will be confirmed by China Meteorological Administration stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$38Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors minimum temperatures of 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 14, driven by the latest ensemble runs from regional and global models showing limited overnight cooling. In this subtropical coastal setting, lows hinge on factors such as cloud cover reducing radiative heat loss, light winds from the South China Sea limiting advection, and residual humidity from seasonal monsoon patterns. Urban heat island effects from dense development typically add 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. With probabilities closely grouped, even modest revisions in forecast humidity or wind fields could shift the outcome. Final readings will be confirmed by China Meteorological Administration stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$38Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors minimum temperatures of 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 14, driven by the latest ensemble runs from regional and global models showing limited overnight cooling. In this subtropical coastal setting, lows hinge on factors such as cloud cover reducing radiative heat loss, light winds from the South China Sea limiting advection, and residual humidity from seasonal monsoon patterns. Urban heat island effects from dense development typically add 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. With probabilities closely grouped, even modest revisions in forecast humidity or wind fields could shift the outcome. Final readings will be confirmed by China Meteorological Administration stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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