Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a mid-90s high for Houston on September 15 under persistent southeast flow and elevated humidity, with heat indices exceeding 105°F. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–95°F bins, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89.4°F. Limited afternoon convection and dry antecedent conditions are expected to prevent significant cooling, while ensemble spreads remain modest and centered near 94°F. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders assessing any late adjustments to the temperature profile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 15 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 15 de septiembre?
94-95°F 47%
92-93°F 41%
88-89°F 9%
96-97°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
85°F o menos
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
47%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104°F o más
1%
94-95°F 47%
92-93°F 41%
88-89°F 9%
96-97°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
85°F o menos
$0 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
9%
90-91°F
$162 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$569 Vol.
41%
94-95°F
$710 Vol.
47%
96-97°F
$100 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
7%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
1%
104°F o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a mid-90s high for Houston on September 15 under persistent southeast flow and elevated humidity, with heat indices exceeding 105°F. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–95°F bins, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89.4°F. Limited afternoon convection and dry antecedent conditions are expected to prevent significant cooling, while ensemble spreads remain modest and centered near 94°F. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders assessing any late adjustments to the temperature profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volumen
$1,541Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a mid-90s high for Houston on September 15 under persistent southeast flow and elevated humidity, with heat indices exceeding 105°F. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–95°F bins, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89.4°F. Limited afternoon convection and dry antecedent conditions are expected to prevent significant cooling, while ensemble spreads remain modest and centered near 94°F. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders assessing any late adjustments to the temperature profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,541Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a mid-90s high for Houston on September 15 under persistent southeast flow and elevated humidity, with heat indices exceeding 105°F. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–95°F bins, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89.4°F. Limited afternoon convection and dry antecedent conditions are expected to prevent significant cooling, while ensemble spreads remain modest and centered near 94°F. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders assessing any late adjustments to the temperature profile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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