**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a northeast monsoon and aloft high pressure, producing east winds of force 4–5 and minimal rain risk.** This aligns with recent actual highs near 30–31°C on September 15–16 and supports the market's leading 31°C outcome (39% implied probability). Nearby probabilities for 30°C (27.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat island effects, or minor model adjustments in the final hours. Stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation chances limit upside potential beyond 32°C while keeping downside risks contained.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 17 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 17 de septiembre?
31°C 41%
30°C 28%
32°C 21%
29°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
41%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C o más
2%
31°C 41%
30°C 28%
32°C 21%
29°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$339 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$159 Vol.
2%
29°C
$230 Vol.
7%
30°C
$348 Vol.
28%
31°C
$831 Vol.
41%
32°C
$2,317 Vol.
21%
33°C
$286 Vol.
4%
34°C o más
$271 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a northeast monsoon and aloft high pressure, producing east winds of force 4–5 and minimal rain risk.**
This aligns with recent actual highs near 30–31°C on September 15–16 and supports the market's leading 31°C outcome (39% implied probability). Nearby probabilities for 30°C (27.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat island effects, or minor model adjustments in the final hours. Stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation chances limit upside potential beyond 32°C while keeping downside risks contained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,675Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a northeast monsoon and aloft high pressure, producing east winds of force 4–5 and minimal rain risk.**
This aligns with recent actual highs near 30–31°C on September 15–16 and supports the market's leading 31°C outcome (39% implied probability). Nearby probabilities for 30°C (27.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat island effects, or minor model adjustments in the final hours. Stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation chances limit upside potential beyond 32°C while keeping downside risks contained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,675Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a northeast monsoon and aloft high pressure, producing east winds of force 4–5 and minimal rain risk.** This aligns with recent actual highs near 30–31°C on September 15–16 and supports the market's leading 31°C outcome (39% implied probability). Nearby probabilities for 30°C (27.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat island effects, or minor model adjustments in the final hours. Stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation chances limit upside potential beyond 32°C while keeping downside risks contained.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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