Consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies and models position 28°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s maximum temperature on September 18, with 27–29°C capturing over 95% of market-implied odds. Stable high pressure, easterly winds of 5–10 mph, and partly cloudy skies are expected to produce typical early-autumn conditions, yielding daytime highs near the September climatological average of 26°C while limiting extreme heating or cooling. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on the thermal profile, with no incoming fronts or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread heavily, though minor revisions in final observational data could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 27–29°C band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 18 de septiembre?
28°C 53%
29°C 27%
27°C 16%
30°C 4%
24°C o menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
53%
29°C
27%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
28°C 53%
29°C 27%
27°C 16%
30°C 4%
24°C o menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
53%
29°C
27%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies and models position 28°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s maximum temperature on September 18, with 27–29°C capturing over 95% of market-implied odds. Stable high pressure, easterly winds of 5–10 mph, and partly cloudy skies are expected to produce typical early-autumn conditions, yielding daytime highs near the September climatological average of 26°C while limiting extreme heating or cooling. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on the thermal profile, with no incoming fronts or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread heavily, though minor revisions in final observational data could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 27–29°C band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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