Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration show Incheon overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader, with 19°C close behind, as ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal diurnal swing and no incoming fronts, while lower-probability tails for 18°C or below reflect only modest downside risk if winds calm further. The 21°C bin captures residual upside if cloud cover lingers longer than expected. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 18 de septiembre?
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
15°C o menos
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
32%
20°C
44%
21°C
18%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C o más
2%
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$101 Vol.
1%
16°C
$251 Vol.
2%
17°C
$106 Vol.
7%
18°C
$73 Vol.
9%
19°C
$815 Vol.
32%
20°C
$957 Vol.
44%
21°C
$397 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$65 Vol.
1%
25°C o más
$53 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration show Incheon overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader, with 19°C close behind, as ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal diurnal swing and no incoming fronts, while lower-probability tails for 18°C or below reflect only modest downside risk if winds calm further. The 21°C bin captures residual upside if cloud cover lingers longer than expected. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,819Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration show Incheon overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader, with 19°C close behind, as ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal diurnal swing and no incoming fronts, while lower-probability tails for 18°C or below reflect only modest downside risk if winds calm further. The 21°C bin captures residual upside if cloud cover lingers longer than expected. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,819Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration show Incheon overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader, with 19°C close behind, as ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal diurnal swing and no incoming fronts, while lower-probability tails for 18°C or below reflect only modest downside risk if winds calm further. The 21°C bin captures residual upside if cloud cover lingers longer than expected. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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