**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 17, 2026 (98.5% implied probability), reflecting aligned official forecasts and stable atmospheric conditions.** Current model runs and agency guidance project overnight lows in the 17–19°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical mid-September radiative cooling with no significant cold-air advection or frontal systems. This matches historical September averages for the region, where minimum temperatures commonly settle in the upper teens Celsius absent unusual synoptic forcing. High daytime readings near 27–28°C further support a diurnal range consistent with an 18°C minimum. Realistic challenges remain limited: a sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling event or localized measurement variance at Incheon stations could shift the outcome, but current observational data and short-range guidance show high model agreement with minimal uncertainty. Newer forecast updates or real-time station reports would be the primary catalysts for any market movement before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 17 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 17 de septiembre?
18°C 99%
14°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,483 Vol.
$20,483 Vol.
17 sep 2026
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
18°C 99%
14°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,483 Vol.
$20,483 Vol.
17 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$963 Vol.
1%
15°C
$884 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$478 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,118 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,626 Vol.
99%
19°C
$9,403 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,411 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 17, 2026 (98.5% implied probability), reflecting aligned official forecasts and stable atmospheric conditions.**
Current model runs and agency guidance project overnight lows in the 17–19°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical mid-September radiative cooling with no significant cold-air advection or frontal systems. This matches historical September averages for the region, where minimum temperatures commonly settle in the upper teens Celsius absent unusual synoptic forcing. High daytime readings near 27–28°C further support a diurnal range consistent with an 18°C minimum.
Realistic challenges remain limited: a sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling event or localized measurement variance at Incheon stations could shift the outcome, but current observational data and short-range guidance show high model agreement with minimal uncertainty. Newer forecast updates or real-time station reports would be the primary catalysts for any market movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$20,483Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 17, 2026 (98.5% implied probability), reflecting aligned official forecasts and stable atmospheric conditions.**
Current model runs and agency guidance project overnight lows in the 17–19°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical mid-September radiative cooling with no significant cold-air advection or frontal systems. This matches historical September averages for the region, where minimum temperatures commonly settle in the upper teens Celsius absent unusual synoptic forcing. High daytime readings near 27–28°C further support a diurnal range consistent with an 18°C minimum.
Realistic challenges remain limited: a sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling event or localized measurement variance at Incheon stations could shift the outcome, but current observational data and short-range guidance show high model agreement with minimal uncertainty. Newer forecast updates or real-time station reports would be the primary catalysts for any market movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,483Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 17, 2026 (98.5% implied probability), reflecting aligned official forecasts and stable atmospheric conditions.** Current model runs and agency guidance project overnight lows in the 17–19°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical mid-September radiative cooling with no significant cold-air advection or frontal systems. This matches historical September averages for the region, where minimum temperatures commonly settle in the upper teens Celsius absent unusual synoptic forcing. High daytime readings near 27–28°C further support a diurnal range consistent with an 18°C minimum. Realistic challenges remain limited: a sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling event or localized measurement variance at Incheon stations could shift the outcome, but current observational data and short-range guidance show high model agreement with minimal uncertainty. Newer forecast updates or real-time station reports would be the primary catalysts for any market movement before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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