Recent model consensus from global forecasting systems points to a narrow range of peak afternoon temperatures in Qingdao on September 19, with marine air from the Yellow Sea moderating inland heating and limiting extremes. Trader emphasis on 30°C over 29°C reflects subtle differences in predicted maximum solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze suppression under light southerly flow. Coastal humidity and cloud-cover variability introduce the main uncertainty, as even modest increases in low-level moisture or earlier convective development could cap readings one degree lower. Historical September baselines near 26°C underscore how current atmospheric setup supports the market-implied tilt toward the upper end of the narrow distribution, with final high-resolution runs expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 19 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 19 de septiembre?
30°C 45%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
11%
29°C
33%
30°C
45%
31°C
13%
32°C o más
1%
30°C 45%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$193 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$17 Vol.
11%
29°C
$50 Vol.
33%
30°C
$572 Vol.
45%
31°C
$92 Vol.
13%
32°C o más
$53 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global forecasting systems points to a narrow range of peak afternoon temperatures in Qingdao on September 19, with marine air from the Yellow Sea moderating inland heating and limiting extremes. Trader emphasis on 30°C over 29°C reflects subtle differences in predicted maximum solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze suppression under light southerly flow. Coastal humidity and cloud-cover variability introduce the main uncertainty, as even modest increases in low-level moisture or earlier convective development could cap readings one degree lower. Historical September baselines near 26°C underscore how current atmospheric setup supports the market-implied tilt toward the upper end of the narrow distribution, with final high-resolution runs expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$1,040Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global forecasting systems points to a narrow range of peak afternoon temperatures in Qingdao on September 19, with marine air from the Yellow Sea moderating inland heating and limiting extremes. Trader emphasis on 30°C over 29°C reflects subtle differences in predicted maximum solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze suppression under light southerly flow. Coastal humidity and cloud-cover variability introduce the main uncertainty, as even modest increases in low-level moisture or earlier convective development could cap readings one degree lower. Historical September baselines near 26°C underscore how current atmospheric setup supports the market-implied tilt toward the upper end of the narrow distribution, with final high-resolution runs expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,040Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global forecasting systems points to a narrow range of peak afternoon temperatures in Qingdao on September 19, with marine air from the Yellow Sea moderating inland heating and limiting extremes. Trader emphasis on 30°C over 29°C reflects subtle differences in predicted maximum solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze suppression under light southerly flow. Coastal humidity and cloud-cover variability introduce the main uncertainty, as even modest increases in low-level moisture or earlier convective development could cap readings one degree lower. Historical September baselines near 26°C underscore how current atmospheric setup supports the market-implied tilt toward the upper end of the narrow distribution, with final high-resolution runs expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes