Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 17°C and 18°C for Toronto’s daily maximum on September 19 because official Environment Canada guidance and GFS model output converge on a high near 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with easterly flow around 20 km/h. Variable cloud cover and modest onshore moisture limit surface heating compared with clear-sky climatology, while afternoon dew points near 12–14°C and light winds further cap the peak. Recent overnight observations at Pearson Airport showed temperatures rising from 11–13°C at dawn, consistent with a modest diurnal range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations from mid-morning onward will determine whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of the narrow 17–18°C band favored by the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 19 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 19 de septiembre?
17°C 39%
18°C 34%
16°C 12%
19°C 11%
NUEVO
$19,979 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,979 Vol.
19 sep 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
39%
18°C
34%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
17°C 39%
18°C 34%
16°C 12%
19°C 11%
NUEVO
$19,979 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,979 Vol.
19 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$55 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,064 Vol.
2%
16°C
$3,830 Vol.
12%
17°C
$4,791 Vol.
39%
18°C
$5,676 Vol.
34%
19°C
$1,722 Vol.
11%
20°C
$795 Vol.
3%
21°C
$939 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$640 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 17°C and 18°C for Toronto’s daily maximum on September 19 because official Environment Canada guidance and GFS model output converge on a high near 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with easterly flow around 20 km/h. Variable cloud cover and modest onshore moisture limit surface heating compared with clear-sky climatology, while afternoon dew points near 12–14°C and light winds further cap the peak. Recent overnight observations at Pearson Airport showed temperatures rising from 11–13°C at dawn, consistent with a modest diurnal range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations from mid-morning onward will determine whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of the narrow 17–18°C band favored by the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$19,979Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 17°C and 18°C for Toronto’s daily maximum on September 19 because official Environment Canada guidance and GFS model output converge on a high near 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with easterly flow around 20 km/h. Variable cloud cover and modest onshore moisture limit surface heating compared with clear-sky climatology, while afternoon dew points near 12–14°C and light winds further cap the peak. Recent overnight observations at Pearson Airport showed temperatures rising from 11–13°C at dawn, consistent with a modest diurnal range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations from mid-morning onward will determine whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of the narrow 17–18°C band favored by the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,979Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 17°C and 18°C for Toronto’s daily maximum on September 19 because official Environment Canada guidance and GFS model output converge on a high near 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with easterly flow around 20 km/h. Variable cloud cover and modest onshore moisture limit surface heating compared with clear-sky climatology, while afternoon dew points near 12–14°C and light winds further cap the peak. Recent overnight observations at Pearson Airport showed temperatures rising from 11–13°C at dawn, consistent with a modest diurnal range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations from mid-morning onward will determine whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of the narrow 17–18°C band favored by the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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