**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 94°F for Houston on September 21, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and continued high humidity.** This aligns with the market-implied probability favoring the 94-95°F bin at 56.5%, ahead of 92-93°F at 26.5%. Recent observations show Houston experiencing above-average warmth, with daily highs in the mid-to-upper 90s through mid-September amid persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Climatologically, late-September averages hover near 88-90°F, but the current pattern lacks significant cooling influences such as stronger onshore flow or organized precipitation. Model guidance indicates only modest day-to-day variation, with heat indices remaining elevated due to dew points in the mid-70s. Traders appear to be weighting the stable forecast heavily, though slight downside risk exists if afternoon cloud cover increases or if a weak disturbance alters the thermal profile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 21 de septiembre?
94-95°F 56%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 14%
90-91°F 5.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
85°F o menos
<1%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
56%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F o más
<1%
94-95°F 56%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 14%
90-91°F 5.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
85°F o menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
86-87 °F
$201 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$121 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$803 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$2,406 Vol.
27%
94-95°F
$2,190 Vol.
56%
96-97°F
$1,980 Vol.
14%
98-99°F
$109 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$116 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$677 Vol.
1%
104°F o más
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 94°F for Houston on September 21, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and continued high humidity.** This aligns with the market-implied probability favoring the 94-95°F bin at 56.5%, ahead of 92-93°F at 26.5%. Recent observations show Houston experiencing above-average warmth, with daily highs in the mid-to-upper 90s through mid-September amid persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal frontal activity.
Climatologically, late-September averages hover near 88-90°F, but the current pattern lacks significant cooling influences such as stronger onshore flow or organized precipitation. Model guidance indicates only modest day-to-day variation, with heat indices remaining elevated due to dew points in the mid-70s. Traders appear to be weighting the stable forecast heavily, though slight downside risk exists if afternoon cloud cover increases or if a weak disturbance alters the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,745Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 94°F for Houston on September 21, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and continued high humidity.** This aligns with the market-implied probability favoring the 94-95°F bin at 56.5%, ahead of 92-93°F at 26.5%. Recent observations show Houston experiencing above-average warmth, with daily highs in the mid-to-upper 90s through mid-September amid persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal frontal activity.
Climatologically, late-September averages hover near 88-90°F, but the current pattern lacks significant cooling influences such as stronger onshore flow or organized precipitation. Model guidance indicates only modest day-to-day variation, with heat indices remaining elevated due to dew points in the mid-70s. Traders appear to be weighting the stable forecast heavily, though slight downside risk exists if afternoon cloud cover increases or if a weak disturbance alters the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,745Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 94°F for Houston on September 21, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and continued high humidity.** This aligns with the market-implied probability favoring the 94-95°F bin at 56.5%, ahead of 92-93°F at 26.5%. Recent observations show Houston experiencing above-average warmth, with daily highs in the mid-to-upper 90s through mid-September amid persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Climatologically, late-September averages hover near 88-90°F, but the current pattern lacks significant cooling influences such as stronger onshore flow or organized precipitation. Model guidance indicates only modest day-to-day variation, with heat indices remaining elevated due to dew points in the mid-70s. Traders appear to be weighting the stable forecast heavily, though slight downside risk exists if afternoon cloud cover increases or if a weak disturbance alters the thermal profile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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