**Forecast models and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicate a cold front arriving on September 22 will limit maximum temperatures in São Paulo to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius.** Increased cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly-to-westerly flow associated with the front are expected to suppress daytime heating compared with recent warmer days. Multiple runs show afternoon highs most likely between 22–26 °C, with the bulk of guidance clustered near or below 24 °C. This aligns with the market’s strong 87 % implied probability for 24 °C or below. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide additional context, while the front’s timing—peaking midday to evening—further reduces the chance of brief spikes above 26 °C. Updated model runs and INMET or CGE briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 22 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 22 de septiembre?
24°C o menos 87%
25°C 6%
27°C 5%
26°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
24°C o menos
87%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
24°C o menos 87%
25°C 6%
27°C 5%
26°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$1,139 Vol.
87%
25°C
$147 Vol.
6%
26°C
$490 Vol.
4%
27°C
$131 Vol.
5%
28°C
$637 Vol.
1%
29°C
$294 Vol.
1%
30°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
34°C o más
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicate a cold front arriving on September 22 will limit maximum temperatures in São Paulo to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius.**
Increased cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly-to-westerly flow associated with the front are expected to suppress daytime heating compared with recent warmer days. Multiple runs show afternoon highs most likely between 22–26 °C, with the bulk of guidance clustered near or below 24 °C. This aligns with the market’s strong 87 % implied probability for 24 °C or below. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide additional context, while the front’s timing—peaking midday to evening—further reduces the chance of brief spikes above 26 °C. Updated model runs and INMET or CGE briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$3,584Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicate a cold front arriving on September 22 will limit maximum temperatures in São Paulo to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius.**
Increased cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly-to-westerly flow associated with the front are expected to suppress daytime heating compared with recent warmer days. Multiple runs show afternoon highs most likely between 22–26 °C, with the bulk of guidance clustered near or below 24 °C. This aligns with the market’s strong 87 % implied probability for 24 °C or below. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide additional context, while the front’s timing—peaking midday to evening—further reduces the chance of brief spikes above 26 °C. Updated model runs and INMET or CGE briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,584Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicate a cold front arriving on September 22 will limit maximum temperatures in São Paulo to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius.** Increased cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly-to-westerly flow associated with the front are expected to suppress daytime heating compared with recent warmer days. Multiple runs show afternoon highs most likely between 22–26 °C, with the bulk of guidance clustered near or below 24 °C. This aligns with the market’s strong 87 % implied probability for 24 °C or below. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide additional context, while the front’s timing—peaking midday to evening—further reduces the chance of brief spikes above 26 °C. Updated model runs and INMET or CGE briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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