Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms on September 21, 2026, alongside sunny intervals that support daytime heating. The predicted temperature range of 27–31°C reflects moderating influences from upper-air disturbances after hotter, drier weather on September 20. Model consensus points to a peak near 31°C, though localized clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C before increased cloud cover and humidity limit further rises. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover around 30–32°C under similar transitional patterns. Traders appear to weigh the official range heavily, with implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes as the most likely resolution thresholds based on current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 21 de septiembre?
31°C 36%
32°C 26%
30°C 25%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 26%
30°C 25%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$485 Vol.
1%
28°C
$676 Vol.
3%
29°C
$363 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,085 Vol.
25%
31°C
$381 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,064 Vol.
26%
33°C
$254 Vol.
6%
34°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms on September 21, 2026, alongside sunny intervals that support daytime heating. The predicted temperature range of 27–31°C reflects moderating influences from upper-air disturbances after hotter, drier weather on September 20. Model consensus points to a peak near 31°C, though localized clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C before increased cloud cover and humidity limit further rises. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover around 30–32°C under similar transitional patterns. Traders appear to weigh the official range heavily, with implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes as the most likely resolution thresholds based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,210Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms on September 21, 2026, alongside sunny intervals that support daytime heating. The predicted temperature range of 27–31°C reflects moderating influences from upper-air disturbances after hotter, drier weather on September 20. Model consensus points to a peak near 31°C, though localized clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C before increased cloud cover and humidity limit further rises. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover around 30–32°C under similar transitional patterns. Traders appear to weigh the official range heavily, with implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes as the most likely resolution thresholds based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,210Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms on September 21, 2026, alongside sunny intervals that support daytime heating. The predicted temperature range of 27–31°C reflects moderating influences from upper-air disturbances after hotter, drier weather on September 20. Model consensus points to a peak near 31°C, though localized clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C before increased cloud cover and humidity limit further rises. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover around 30–32°C under similar transitional patterns. Traders appear to weigh the official range heavily, with implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes as the most likely resolution thresholds based on current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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