Forecast consensus from official and meteorological sources positions 27°C as the expected daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, supporting the market's dominant 88.5% implied probability. Persistent warm, humid conditions with light easterly to southeasterly winds and scattered thunderstorm activity have kept overnight temperatures elevated near 26–27°C, consistent with late-September climatology and recent model runs showing no significant cool-air advection. Daytime readings have climbed into the upper 20s to low 30s under partly cloudy skies, while dew points near 24°C limit nocturnal cooling. Updated short-range guidance through the evening continues to favor a low of 27°C, with only modest downside risk to 26°C if showers intensify overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de septiembre?
27°C 88%
26°C 7%
25°C 5%
22°C o menos 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
22°C o menos
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
88%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C o más
<1%
27°C 88%
26°C 7%
25°C 5%
22°C o menos 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$37 Vol.
2%
23°C
$424 Vol.
1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
2%
25°C
$488 Vol.
5%
26°C
$968 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,871 Vol.
88%
28°C
$3,412 Vol.
1%
29°C
$31 Vol.
1%
30°C
$329 Vol.
1%
31°C
$333 Vol.
1%
32°C o más
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast consensus from official and meteorological sources positions 27°C as the expected daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, supporting the market's dominant 88.5% implied probability. Persistent warm, humid conditions with light easterly to southeasterly winds and scattered thunderstorm activity have kept overnight temperatures elevated near 26–27°C, consistent with late-September climatology and recent model runs showing no significant cool-air advection. Daytime readings have climbed into the upper 20s to low 30s under partly cloudy skies, while dew points near 24°C limit nocturnal cooling. Updated short-range guidance through the evening continues to favor a low of 27°C, with only modest downside risk to 26°C if showers intensify overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$9,131Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast consensus from official and meteorological sources positions 27°C as the expected daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, supporting the market's dominant 88.5% implied probability. Persistent warm, humid conditions with light easterly to southeasterly winds and scattered thunderstorm activity have kept overnight temperatures elevated near 26–27°C, consistent with late-September climatology and recent model runs showing no significant cool-air advection. Daytime readings have climbed into the upper 20s to low 30s under partly cloudy skies, while dew points near 24°C limit nocturnal cooling. Updated short-range guidance through the evening continues to favor a low of 27°C, with only modest downside risk to 26°C if showers intensify overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,131Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from official and meteorological sources positions 27°C as the expected daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, supporting the market's dominant 88.5% implied probability. Persistent warm, humid conditions with light easterly to southeasterly winds and scattered thunderstorm activity have kept overnight temperatures elevated near 26–27°C, consistent with late-September climatology and recent model runs showing no significant cool-air advection. Daytime readings have climbed into the upper 20s to low 30s under partly cloudy skies, while dew points near 24°C limit nocturnal cooling. Updated short-range guidance through the evening continues to favor a low of 27°C, with only modest downside risk to 26°C if showers intensify overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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