Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with onshore westerly flow and a persistent marine layer will limit daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, supporting highs primarily in the mid-60s. This pattern aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 64–67°F bands, as cloud cover and moderate southwest winds suppress the typical September warming that historically averages near 71°F. Updated guidance shows no significant offshore shift or clear-sky burn-off expected before peak afternoon temperatures, keeping probabilities for 68°F or higher constrained while elevating the 66–67°F outcome. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow range of official KSFO station readings likely under these stable synoptic conditions ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 20 de septiembre?
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 20%
70-71°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
59°F o menos
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
42%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F o más
<1%
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 20%
70-71°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
59°F o menos
$174 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$266 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$1,199 Vol.
29%
66-67°F
$382 Vol.
42%
68-69°F
$787 Vol.
20%
70-71°F
$403 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$568 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$15 Vol.
1%
78°F o más
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with onshore westerly flow and a persistent marine layer will limit daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, supporting highs primarily in the mid-60s. This pattern aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 64–67°F bands, as cloud cover and moderate southwest winds suppress the typical September warming that historically averages near 71°F. Updated guidance shows no significant offshore shift or clear-sky burn-off expected before peak afternoon temperatures, keeping probabilities for 68°F or higher constrained while elevating the 66–67°F outcome. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow range of official KSFO station readings likely under these stable synoptic conditions ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,050Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with onshore westerly flow and a persistent marine layer will limit daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, supporting highs primarily in the mid-60s. This pattern aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 64–67°F bands, as cloud cover and moderate southwest winds suppress the typical September warming that historically averages near 71°F. Updated guidance shows no significant offshore shift or clear-sky burn-off expected before peak afternoon temperatures, keeping probabilities for 68°F or higher constrained while elevating the 66–67°F outcome. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow range of official KSFO station readings likely under these stable synoptic conditions ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,050Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with onshore westerly flow and a persistent marine layer will limit daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, supporting highs primarily in the mid-60s. This pattern aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 64–67°F bands, as cloud cover and moderate southwest winds suppress the typical September warming that historically averages near 71°F. Updated guidance shows no significant offshore shift or clear-sky burn-off expected before peak afternoon temperatures, keeping probabilities for 68°F or higher constrained while elevating the 66–67°F outcome. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow range of official KSFO station readings likely under these stable synoptic conditions ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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