Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and major models such as GFS indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus supports the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical late-September averages hover around 20–22°C. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the current guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 20 de septiembre?
24°C 43%
23°C 29%
25°C 16%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
$10,513 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,513 Vol.
20 sep 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
43%
25°C
16%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 29%
25°C 16%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
$10,513 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,513 Vol.
20 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$268 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,833 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,490 Vol.
29%
24°C
$976 Vol.
43%
25°C
$1,244 Vol.
16%
26°C
$898 Vol.
4%
27°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and major models such as GFS indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus supports the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical late-September averages hover around 20–22°C. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the current guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$10,513Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and major models such as GFS indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus supports the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical late-September averages hover around 20–22°C. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the current guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,513Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and major models such as GFS indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus supports the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical late-September averages hover around 20–22°C. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the current guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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