Trader consensus for Hong Kong’s September 19 maximum temperature centers on 31–32°C, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–33°C under a high-pressure anticyclone and moderating northeast monsoon that favors clear, dry, and very hot conditions with low rain probability. These outcomes edge ahead due to model consensus on strong daytime heating from high solar insolation and reduced humidity, which historically pushes urban maxima toward the upper end of September climatology near 30–31°C. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on minor forecast variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or local heat-island effects, while the low probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect limited upside potential absent model shifts. Official resolution relies on the observatory’s recorded daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 19 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 19 de septiembre?
32°C 45%
31°C 36%
33°C 12%
30°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
36%
32°C
45%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C o más
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 36%
33°C 12%
30°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
26°C o menos
$309 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$403 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,456 Vol.
1%
30°C
$412 Vol.
7%
31°C
$512 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,185 Vol.
45%
33°C
$1,408 Vol.
12%
34°C
$1,181 Vol.
3%
35°C
$30 Vol.
2%
36°C o más
$82 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for Hong Kong’s September 19 maximum temperature centers on 31–32°C, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–33°C under a high-pressure anticyclone and moderating northeast monsoon that favors clear, dry, and very hot conditions with low rain probability. These outcomes edge ahead due to model consensus on strong daytime heating from high solar insolation and reduced humidity, which historically pushes urban maxima toward the upper end of September climatology near 30–31°C. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on minor forecast variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or local heat-island effects, while the low probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect limited upside potential absent model shifts. Official resolution relies on the observatory’s recorded daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,319Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for Hong Kong’s September 19 maximum temperature centers on 31–32°C, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–33°C under a high-pressure anticyclone and moderating northeast monsoon that favors clear, dry, and very hot conditions with low rain probability. These outcomes edge ahead due to model consensus on strong daytime heating from high solar insolation and reduced humidity, which historically pushes urban maxima toward the upper end of September climatology near 30–31°C. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on minor forecast variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or local heat-island effects, while the low probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect limited upside potential absent model shifts. Official resolution relies on the observatory’s recorded daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,319Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Hong Kong’s September 19 maximum temperature centers on 31–32°C, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–33°C under a high-pressure anticyclone and moderating northeast monsoon that favors clear, dry, and very hot conditions with low rain probability. These outcomes edge ahead due to model consensus on strong daytime heating from high solar insolation and reduced humidity, which historically pushes urban maxima toward the upper end of September climatology near 30–31°C. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on minor forecast variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or local heat-island effects, while the low probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect limited upside potential absent model shifts. Official resolution relies on the observatory’s recorded daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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