Forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high near 20–21°C for London on September 18, with sunny intervals and moderate southwesterly winds limiting further warming. This consensus supports the market’s strong preference for 20°C at 63% implied probability, as typical late-September conditions and cloud cover prevent extremes. Recent model runs show afternoon peaks around 20°C, aligning with historical September averages and reducing odds for 22°C or higher. Traders are pricing in the narrow range around the expected maximum, with limited upside from Atlantic flow and no major warm-air advection expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 18 de septiembre?
20°C 63%
19°C 21%
21°C 17%
22°C 2.8%
NUEVO
$32,389 Vol.
NUEVO
$32,389 Vol.
18 sep 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
21%
20°C
63%
21°C
17%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
20°C 63%
19°C 21%
21°C 17%
22°C 2.8%
NUEVO
$32,389 Vol.
NUEVO
$32,389 Vol.
18 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$197 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,639 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,354 Vol.
21%
20°C
$7,905 Vol.
63%
21°C
$8,837 Vol.
17%
22°C
$3,886 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$562 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high near 20–21°C for London on September 18, with sunny intervals and moderate southwesterly winds limiting further warming. This consensus supports the market’s strong preference for 20°C at 63% implied probability, as typical late-September conditions and cloud cover prevent extremes. Recent model runs show afternoon peaks around 20°C, aligning with historical September averages and reducing odds for 22°C or higher. Traders are pricing in the narrow range around the expected maximum, with limited upside from Atlantic flow and no major warm-air advection expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$32,389Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high near 20–21°C for London on September 18, with sunny intervals and moderate southwesterly winds limiting further warming. This consensus supports the market’s strong preference for 20°C at 63% implied probability, as typical late-September conditions and cloud cover prevent extremes. Recent model runs show afternoon peaks around 20°C, aligning with historical September averages and reducing odds for 22°C or higher. Traders are pricing in the narrow range around the expected maximum, with limited upside from Atlantic flow and no major warm-air advection expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,389Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high near 20–21°C for London on September 18, with sunny intervals and moderate southwesterly winds limiting further warming. This consensus supports the market’s strong preference for 20°C at 63% implied probability, as typical late-September conditions and cloud cover prevent extremes. Recent model runs show afternoon peaks around 20°C, aligning with historical September averages and reducing odds for 22°C or higher. Traders are pricing in the narrow range around the expected maximum, with limited upside from Atlantic flow and no major warm-air advection expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes