**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including IPMet and international models, point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 19, 2026, likely between 16°C and 18°C.** This positions 17°C and 16°C as the leading market outcomes because overnight conditions feature moderate easterly winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling without a strong cold front or clear-sky setup for deeper drops. Recent model runs show consistency around these values, with no major revisions expected before the daily low is recorded at official stations such as Congonhas. Traders are weighting these levels heavily as the most probable resolution thresholds given the current springtime pattern and lack of unusual synoptic forcing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 19 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 19 de septiembre?
16°C 50%
14°C 34%
15°C 33%
12°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
11°C o menos
10%
12°C
17%
13°C
10%
14°C
34%
15°C
33%
16°C
54%
17°C
67%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
16°C 50%
14°C 34%
15°C 33%
12°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
11°C o menos
$0 Vol.
10%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
33%
16°C
$19 Vol.
54%
17°C
$118 Vol.
67%
18°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
21°C o más
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including IPMet and international models, point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 19, 2026, likely between 16°C and 18°C.** This positions 17°C and 16°C as the leading market outcomes because overnight conditions feature moderate easterly winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling without a strong cold front or clear-sky setup for deeper drops. Recent model runs show consistency around these values, with no major revisions expected before the daily low is recorded at official stations such as Congonhas. Traders are weighting these levels heavily as the most probable resolution thresholds given the current springtime pattern and lack of unusual synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volumen
$478Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including IPMet and international models, point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 19, 2026, likely between 16°C and 18°C.** This positions 17°C and 16°C as the leading market outcomes because overnight conditions feature moderate easterly winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling without a strong cold front or clear-sky setup for deeper drops. Recent model runs show consistency around these values, with no major revisions expected before the daily low is recorded at official stations such as Congonhas. Traders are weighting these levels heavily as the most probable resolution thresholds given the current springtime pattern and lack of unusual synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$478Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including IPMet and international models, point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 19, 2026, likely between 16°C and 18°C.** This positions 17°C and 16°C as the leading market outcomes because overnight conditions feature moderate easterly winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling without a strong cold front or clear-sky setup for deeper drops. Recent model runs show consistency around these values, with no major revisions expected before the daily low is recorded at official stations such as Congonhas. Traders are weighting these levels heavily as the most probable resolution thresholds given the current springtime pattern and lack of unusual synoptic forcing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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