Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 21 will likely peak near 20–21°C under southerly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those exact values. Warmer advection from the south has sustained daytime readings above seasonal averages, while increasing cloudiness and light winds limit further warming or sharp cooling. Minor model spreads in afternoon peak timing and coverage create the observed clustering around 19–22°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for rapid shifts this close to the observation window. Official Russian meteorological measurements will determine the daily high for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 21 de septiembre?
20°C 38%
21°C 24%
19°C 20%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
20%
20°C
38%
21°C
24%
22°C
9%
23°C o más
3%
20°C 38%
21°C 24%
19°C 20%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$267 Vol.
1%
16°C
$373 Vol.
2%
17°C
$98 Vol.
3%
18°C
$130 Vol.
6%
19°C
$437 Vol.
20%
20°C
$732 Vol.
38%
21°C
$221 Vol.
24%
22°C
$286 Vol.
9%
23°C o más
$40 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 21 will likely peak near 20–21°C under southerly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those exact values. Warmer advection from the south has sustained daytime readings above seasonal averages, while increasing cloudiness and light winds limit further warming or sharp cooling. Minor model spreads in afternoon peak timing and coverage create the observed clustering around 19–22°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for rapid shifts this close to the observation window. Official Russian meteorological measurements will determine the daily high for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,806Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 21 will likely peak near 20–21°C under southerly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those exact values. Warmer advection from the south has sustained daytime readings above seasonal averages, while increasing cloudiness and light winds limit further warming or sharp cooling. Minor model spreads in afternoon peak timing and coverage create the observed clustering around 19–22°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for rapid shifts this close to the observation window. Official Russian meteorological measurements will determine the daily high for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,806Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 21 will likely peak near 20–21°C under southerly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those exact values. Warmer advection from the south has sustained daytime readings above seasonal averages, while increasing cloudiness and light winds limit further warming or sharp cooling. Minor model spreads in afternoon peak timing and coverage create the observed clustering around 19–22°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for rapid shifts this close to the observation window. Official Russian meteorological measurements will determine the daily high for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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