Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 20 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 20 de septiembre?
8°C 95%
7°C 5%
6°C 2%
5°C o menos <1%
$4,289 Vol.
$4,289 Vol.
20 sep 2026
5°C o menos
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Sí
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C o más
No
8°C 95%
7°C 5%
6°C 2%
5°C o menos <1%
$4,289 Vol.
$4,289 Vol.
20 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$31 Vol.
No
6°C
$0 Vol.
No
7°C
$15 Vol.
No
8°C
$0 Vol.
Sí
9°C
$3,712 Vol.
No
10°C
$193 Vol.
No
11°C
$276 Vol.
No
12°C
$25 Vol.
No
13°C
$37 Vol.
No
14°C
$0 Vol.
No
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$4,289Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,289Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes