Persistent unsettled weather from an upper-level low crossing South Florida is keeping Miami's September 20 high temperature forecast tightly clustered in the upper 80s. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to highs near 88°F amid scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms, high atmospheric moisture, and variable cloud cover that can both suppress peak heating through rain-cooled air and allow brief warming in any breaks. These conditions create narrow differentiation among the leading market bins of 88-89°F, 90-91°F, and 86-87°F, with outcomes hinging on exact timing of convection and steering flow strength. Historical September baselines near 88-90°F provide context, while updated model runs and NHC monitoring of the regional pattern will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 20 de septiembre?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 33%
86-87°F 23%
84-85°F 6%
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96°F o más
1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 33%
86-87°F 23%
84-85°F 6%
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96°F o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent unsettled weather from an upper-level low crossing South Florida is keeping Miami's September 20 high temperature forecast tightly clustered in the upper 80s. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to highs near 88°F amid scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms, high atmospheric moisture, and variable cloud cover that can both suppress peak heating through rain-cooled air and allow brief warming in any breaks. These conditions create narrow differentiation among the leading market bins of 88-89°F, 90-91°F, and 86-87°F, with outcomes hinging on exact timing of convection and steering flow strength. Historical September baselines near 88-90°F provide context, while updated model runs and NHC monitoring of the regional pattern will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes