Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF, along with Météo-France analyses, shows a consensus maximum temperature near 22°C in Paris on September 18 under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome close to the long-term September average high of 21.2°C, with afternoon readings expected to peak around 21–23°C depending on the exact timing of any breaks in the overcast. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent model runs have shown little deviation. Final confirmation will come from official hourly observations the following day, with resolution hinging on the single highest recorded value at the designated Paris station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 18 de septiembre?
22°C 59%
21°C 23%
23°C 17%
20°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
23%
22°C
59%
23°C
17%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
22°C 59%
21°C 23%
23°C 17%
20°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$514 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$395 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,443 Vol.
23%
22°C
$2,169 Vol.
59%
23°C
$1,740 Vol.
17%
24°C
$404 Vol.
3%
25°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF, along with Météo-France analyses, shows a consensus maximum temperature near 22°C in Paris on September 18 under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome close to the long-term September average high of 21.2°C, with afternoon readings expected to peak around 21–23°C depending on the exact timing of any breaks in the overcast. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent model runs have shown little deviation. Final confirmation will come from official hourly observations the following day, with resolution hinging on the single highest recorded value at the designated Paris station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$7,794Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF, along with Météo-France analyses, shows a consensus maximum temperature near 22°C in Paris on September 18 under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome close to the long-term September average high of 21.2°C, with afternoon readings expected to peak around 21–23°C depending on the exact timing of any breaks in the overcast. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent model runs have shown little deviation. Final confirmation will come from official hourly observations the following day, with resolution hinging on the single highest recorded value at the designated Paris station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,794Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF, along with Météo-France analyses, shows a consensus maximum temperature near 22°C in Paris on September 18 under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome close to the long-term September average high of 21.2°C, with afternoon readings expected to peak around 21–23°C depending on the exact timing of any breaks in the overcast. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent model runs have shown little deviation. Final confirmation will come from official hourly observations the following day, with resolution hinging on the single highest recorded value at the designated Paris station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes