Recent model consensus from GFS and other numerical weather prediction systems shows Moscow under southwesterly flow with moderate pressure gradients and widespread cloud cover on September 19, supporting daytime maxima near 18°C. Limited solar insolation from persistent stratus and cumulus, combined with modest advection of milder Atlantic air, caps warming short of 20°C while preventing a drop to 17°C or below. Yandex and regional forecasters align on highs around 19°C under similar conditions, with low precipitation risk and light winds further stabilizing the thermal profile. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C because ensemble spreads cluster tightly in the 17–19°C range, consistent with late-September climatology and the absence of strong ridging or cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 19 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 19 de septiembre?
18°C 47%
19°C 26%
17°C 24%
20°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
24%
18°C
47%
19°C
26%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
18°C 47%
19°C 26%
17°C 24%
20°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$93 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,027 Vol.
24%
18°C
$1,011 Vol.
47%
19°C
$947 Vol.
26%
20°C
$459 Vol.
6%
21°C
$411 Vol.
3%
22°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other numerical weather prediction systems shows Moscow under southwesterly flow with moderate pressure gradients and widespread cloud cover on September 19, supporting daytime maxima near 18°C. Limited solar insolation from persistent stratus and cumulus, combined with modest advection of milder Atlantic air, caps warming short of 20°C while preventing a drop to 17°C or below. Yandex and regional forecasters align on highs around 19°C under similar conditions, with low precipitation risk and light winds further stabilizing the thermal profile. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C because ensemble spreads cluster tightly in the 17–19°C range, consistent with late-September climatology and the absence of strong ridging or cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$4,571Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other numerical weather prediction systems shows Moscow under southwesterly flow with moderate pressure gradients and widespread cloud cover on September 19, supporting daytime maxima near 18°C. Limited solar insolation from persistent stratus and cumulus, combined with modest advection of milder Atlantic air, caps warming short of 20°C while preventing a drop to 17°C or below. Yandex and regional forecasters align on highs around 19°C under similar conditions, with low precipitation risk and light winds further stabilizing the thermal profile. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C because ensemble spreads cluster tightly in the 17–19°C range, consistent with late-September climatology and the absence of strong ridging or cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,571Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and other numerical weather prediction systems shows Moscow under southwesterly flow with moderate pressure gradients and widespread cloud cover on September 19, supporting daytime maxima near 18°C. Limited solar insolation from persistent stratus and cumulus, combined with modest advection of milder Atlantic air, caps warming short of 20°C while preventing a drop to 17°C or below. Yandex and regional forecasters align on highs around 19°C under similar conditions, with low precipitation risk and light winds further stabilizing the thermal profile. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C because ensemble spreads cluster tightly in the 17–19°C range, consistent with late-September climatology and the absence of strong ridging or cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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