**Current forecasts from multiple models position the highest temperature in Wellington on September 18 at 14–15°C as the most probable outcome.** Recent runs from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional guidance show daytime highs reaching approximately 14–15°C (57–59°F) under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and only a low chance of showers. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 15°C leads at 43% and 14°C follows at 30%. Springtime conditions in Wellington are shaped by the passage of weak fronts and variable winds; the current setup features northerly flow moderating temperatures without strong warming or cooling advection. Historical September averages hover near 13–14°C for daily maxima, so the forecast represents a modest positive anomaly driven by recent pressure patterns rather than an extreme event. Model consensus remains tight, with limited spread in peak values, supporting the concentration of probability mass around 14–15°C. Updated official guidance or the next model cycle could refine these values ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de septiembre?
15°C 59%
14°C 27%
16°C 9%
13°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
27%
15°C
59%
16°C
9%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C o más
<1%
15°C 59%
14°C 27%
16°C 9%
13°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$253 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$276 Vol.
1%
11°C
$176 Vol.
1%
12°C
$339 Vol.
2%
13°C
$289 Vol.
5%
14°C
$457 Vol.
27%
15°C
$1,761 Vol.
59%
16°C
$189 Vol.
9%
17°C
$142 Vol.
3%
18°C
$225 Vol.
1%
19°C o más
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models position the highest temperature in Wellington on September 18 at 14–15°C as the most probable outcome.** Recent runs from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional guidance show daytime highs reaching approximately 14–15°C (57–59°F) under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and only a low chance of showers. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 15°C leads at 43% and 14°C follows at 30%.
Springtime conditions in Wellington are shaped by the passage of weak fronts and variable winds; the current setup features northerly flow moderating temperatures without strong warming or cooling advection. Historical September averages hover near 13–14°C for daily maxima, so the forecast represents a modest positive anomaly driven by recent pressure patterns rather than an extreme event. Model consensus remains tight, with limited spread in peak values, supporting the concentration of probability mass around 14–15°C. Updated official guidance or the next model cycle could refine these values ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,387Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models position the highest temperature in Wellington on September 18 at 14–15°C as the most probable outcome.** Recent runs from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional guidance show daytime highs reaching approximately 14–15°C (57–59°F) under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and only a low chance of showers. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 15°C leads at 43% and 14°C follows at 30%.
Springtime conditions in Wellington are shaped by the passage of weak fronts and variable winds; the current setup features northerly flow moderating temperatures without strong warming or cooling advection. Historical September averages hover near 13–14°C for daily maxima, so the forecast represents a modest positive anomaly driven by recent pressure patterns rather than an extreme event. Model consensus remains tight, with limited spread in peak values, supporting the concentration of probability mass around 14–15°C. Updated official guidance or the next model cycle could refine these values ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,387Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models position the highest temperature in Wellington on September 18 at 14–15°C as the most probable outcome.** Recent runs from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional guidance show daytime highs reaching approximately 14–15°C (57–59°F) under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and only a low chance of showers. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 15°C leads at 43% and 14°C follows at 30%. Springtime conditions in Wellington are shaped by the passage of weak fronts and variable winds; the current setup features northerly flow moderating temperatures without strong warming or cooling advection. Historical September averages hover near 13–14°C for daily maxima, so the forecast represents a modest positive anomaly driven by recent pressure patterns rather than an extreme event. Model consensus remains tight, with limited spread in peak values, supporting the concentration of probability mass around 14–15°C. Updated official guidance or the next model cycle could refine these values ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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