Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on September 16, driven by southerly flow under building high pressure that favors daytime warming with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 11–13°C, with afternoon peaks most often projected between 23–26°C depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. This places the market’s heaviest implied probability on 24°C, consistent with the latest short-range consensus above the September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. New model runs over the next 48 hours could shift odds if winds strengthen or cloud decks increase, but current atmospheric conditions support a narrow range centered on the leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 16 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 16 de septiembre?
24°C 50%
25°C 37%
23°C 20%
26°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
20%
24°C
50%
25°C
37%
26°C
20%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C o más
1%
24°C 50%
25°C 37%
23°C 20%
26°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$161 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on September 16, driven by southerly flow under building high pressure that favors daytime warming with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 11–13°C, with afternoon peaks most often projected between 23–26°C depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. This places the market’s heaviest implied probability on 24°C, consistent with the latest short-range consensus above the September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. New model runs over the next 48 hours could shift odds if winds strengthen or cloud decks increase, but current atmospheric conditions support a narrow range centered on the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$161Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on September 16, driven by southerly flow under building high pressure that favors daytime warming with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 11–13°C, with afternoon peaks most often projected between 23–26°C depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. This places the market’s heaviest implied probability on 24°C, consistent with the latest short-range consensus above the September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. New model runs over the next 48 hours could shift odds if winds strengthen or cloud decks increase, but current atmospheric conditions support a narrow range centered on the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$161Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on September 16, driven by southerly flow under building high pressure that favors daytime warming with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 11–13°C, with afternoon peaks most often projected between 23–26°C depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. This places the market’s heaviest implied probability on 24°C, consistent with the latest short-range consensus above the September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. New model runs over the next 48 hours could shift odds if winds strengthen or cloud decks increase, but current atmospheric conditions support a narrow range centered on the leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes