Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv near 33°C under clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and typical September humidity levels around 50-60%. This aligns with the market-implied 76% probability for 33°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover that support efficient daytime heating without excessive intensification. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 30-31°C, with current runs showing a modest upward deviation consistent with observed trends. Minor model variations introduce small probabilities for 32°C or 34°C, while thresholds outside this narrow band remain unlikely absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or humidity. Updated observations and final daily maximum readings from official stations will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 16 de septiembre?
33°C 77%
34°C 16%
32°C 9.5%
35°C <1%
$21,763 Vol.
$21,763 Vol.
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
77%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
33°C 77%
34°C 16%
32°C 9.5%
35°C <1%
$21,763 Vol.
$21,763 Vol.
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
77%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv near 33°C under clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and typical September humidity levels around 50-60%. This aligns with the market-implied 76% probability for 33°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover that support efficient daytime heating without excessive intensification. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 30-31°C, with current runs showing a modest upward deviation consistent with observed trends. Minor model variations introduce small probabilities for 32°C or 34°C, while thresholds outside this narrow band remain unlikely absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or humidity. Updated observations and final daily maximum readings from official stations will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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