Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs position Moscow's September 20 maximum near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–6 m/s, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions favor afternoon highs clustering around 20°C, aligning with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 19°C. Historical September climatology in the region supports typical daily maxima near 17°C, so current model consensus reflects a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow. Minor spread in guidance—some runs peaking at 21°C, others capping at 19°C—explains the smaller probabilities for adjacent values, with traders weighting the most recent model updates and local observations ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 20 de septiembre?
20°C 53%
19°C 38%
21°C 9%
18°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
38%
20°C
53%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
20°C 53%
19°C 38%
21°C 9%
18°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$207 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$365 Vol.
1%
17°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$301 Vol.
4%
19°C
$600 Vol.
38%
20°C
$1,865 Vol.
53%
21°C
$395 Vol.
9%
22°C
$283 Vol.
2%
23°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs position Moscow's September 20 maximum near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–6 m/s, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions favor afternoon highs clustering around 20°C, aligning with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 19°C. Historical September climatology in the region supports typical daily maxima near 17°C, so current model consensus reflects a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow. Minor spread in guidance—some runs peaking at 21°C, others capping at 19°C—explains the smaller probabilities for adjacent values, with traders weighting the most recent model updates and local observations ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$4,534Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs position Moscow's September 20 maximum near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–6 m/s, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions favor afternoon highs clustering around 20°C, aligning with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 19°C. Historical September climatology in the region supports typical daily maxima near 17°C, so current model consensus reflects a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow. Minor spread in guidance—some runs peaking at 21°C, others capping at 19°C—explains the smaller probabilities for adjacent values, with traders weighting the most recent model updates and local observations ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,534Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs position Moscow's September 20 maximum near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–6 m/s, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions favor afternoon highs clustering around 20°C, aligning with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 19°C. Historical September climatology in the region supports typical daily maxima near 17°C, so current model consensus reflects a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow. Minor spread in guidance—some runs peaking at 21°C, others capping at 19°C—explains the smaller probabilities for adjacent values, with traders weighting the most recent model updates and local observations ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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