Divergent numerical weather prediction models create the closely matched market-implied odds for Buenos Aires overnight lows on September 20, with traders balancing scenarios for a cold frontal passage against milder advection. Current conditions feature springtime temperatures near seasonal norms around 14–16°C minima, but ensemble guidance shows split outcomes: stronger southerly flow could drive readings to 10°C or below via enhanced radiational cooling under clearing skies, while delayed frontal timing or warmer northerly return flow supports 20°C-plus values. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and global model runs over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the primary uncertainty tied to frontal speed and boundary-layer moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 20 de septiembre?
10°C o menos 83%
20°C o más 81%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
10°C o menos
83%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
22%
14°C
23%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
17%
18°C
13%
19°C
13%
20°C o más
81%
10°C o menos 83%
20°C o más 81%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
10°C o menos
83%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
22%
14°C
23%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
17%
18°C
13%
19°C
13%
20°C o más
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Divergent numerical weather prediction models create the closely matched market-implied odds for Buenos Aires overnight lows on September 20, with traders balancing scenarios for a cold frontal passage against milder advection. Current conditions feature springtime temperatures near seasonal norms around 14–16°C minima, but ensemble guidance shows split outcomes: stronger southerly flow could drive readings to 10°C or below via enhanced radiational cooling under clearing skies, while delayed frontal timing or warmer northerly return flow supports 20°C-plus values. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and global model runs over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the primary uncertainty tied to frontal speed and boundary-layer moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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