Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 22 indicate overnight lows in the upper 50s, with the 58–59 °F bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 40 %. This positioning reflects persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer that limits radiational cooling while preventing sharp drops below seasonal norms. Recent observations show downtown lows near 57 °F amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average low of 55.7 °F for the date. Model consensus favors continued mild overnight temperatures without significant offshore flow or clear-sky enhancement that could push readings lower, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 22 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 22 de septiembre?
58-59°F 62%
60-61°F 24%
56-57°F 18%
52-53°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
51°F o menos
7%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
41%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
5%
70°F o más
5%
58-59°F 62%
60-61°F 24%
56-57°F 18%
52-53°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
51°F o menos
$10 Vol.
7%
52-53°F
$58 Vol.
11%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
11%
56-57°F
$71 Vol.
18%
58-59°F
$93 Vol.
41%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$10 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$10 Vol.
5%
70°F o más
$10 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 22 indicate overnight lows in the upper 50s, with the 58–59 °F bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 40 %. This positioning reflects persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer that limits radiational cooling while preventing sharp drops below seasonal norms. Recent observations show downtown lows near 57 °F amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average low of 55.7 °F for the date. Model consensus favors continued mild overnight temperatures without significant offshore flow or clear-sky enhancement that could push readings lower, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$272Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 22 indicate overnight lows in the upper 50s, with the 58–59 °F bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 40 %. This positioning reflects persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer that limits radiational cooling while preventing sharp drops below seasonal norms. Recent observations show downtown lows near 57 °F amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average low of 55.7 °F for the date. Model consensus favors continued mild overnight temperatures without significant offshore flow or clear-sky enhancement that could push readings lower, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$272Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 22 indicate overnight lows in the upper 50s, with the 58–59 °F bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 40 %. This positioning reflects persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer that limits radiational cooling while preventing sharp drops below seasonal norms. Recent observations show downtown lows near 57 °F amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average low of 55.7 °F for the date. Model consensus favors continued mild overnight temperatures without significant offshore flow or clear-sky enhancement that could push readings lower, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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