Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a strong northerly flow are suppressing daytime solar heating in Tokyo on September 21, driving market-implied odds toward a maximum of 24–25°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show highs near 25°C amid 100% precipitation chances, elevated humidity above 95%, and winds of 15–25 mph, which enhance evaporative cooling and limit warming. These conditions align with late-September climatology for post-frontal rainy periods, where baselines average 26–28°C but drop several degrees under overcast skies. Minor model variations in rain timing introduce uncertainty between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes, with any breaks in cloud cover potentially allowing brief spikes toward 26°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 21 de septiembre?
24°C 32%
25°C 27%
23°C 16%
26°C 16%
NUEVO
$46,426 Vol.
NUEVO
$46,426 Vol.
21 sep 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
32%
25°C
27%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
24°C 32%
25°C 27%
23°C 16%
26°C 16%
NUEVO
$46,426 Vol.
NUEVO
$46,426 Vol.
21 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$1,111 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,720 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,932 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5,392 Vol.
16%
24°C
$13,601 Vol.
32%
25°C
$6,144 Vol.
27%
26°C
$5,263 Vol.
16%
27°C
$3,620 Vol.
10%
28°C
$2,146 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a strong northerly flow are suppressing daytime solar heating in Tokyo on September 21, driving market-implied odds toward a maximum of 24–25°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show highs near 25°C amid 100% precipitation chances, elevated humidity above 95%, and winds of 15–25 mph, which enhance evaporative cooling and limit warming. These conditions align with late-September climatology for post-frontal rainy periods, where baselines average 26–28°C but drop several degrees under overcast skies. Minor model variations in rain timing introduce uncertainty between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes, with any breaks in cloud cover potentially allowing brief spikes toward 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$46,426Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a strong northerly flow are suppressing daytime solar heating in Tokyo on September 21, driving market-implied odds toward a maximum of 24–25°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show highs near 25°C amid 100% precipitation chances, elevated humidity above 95%, and winds of 15–25 mph, which enhance evaporative cooling and limit warming. These conditions align with late-September climatology for post-frontal rainy periods, where baselines average 26–28°C but drop several degrees under overcast skies. Minor model variations in rain timing introduce uncertainty between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes, with any breaks in cloud cover potentially allowing brief spikes toward 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$46,426Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a strong northerly flow are suppressing daytime solar heating in Tokyo on September 21, driving market-implied odds toward a maximum of 24–25°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show highs near 25°C amid 100% precipitation chances, elevated humidity above 95%, and winds of 15–25 mph, which enhance evaporative cooling and limit warming. These conditions align with late-September climatology for post-frontal rainy periods, where baselines average 26–28°C but drop several degrees under overcast skies. Minor model variations in rain timing introduce uncertainty between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes, with any breaks in cloud cover potentially allowing brief spikes toward 26°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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