**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position San Francisco’s September 22 high temperature in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the 68–70 °F range emerging as the most probable outcome.** A deepening marine layer and southwest flow have kept recent days cooler, but a gradual warming trend begins Tuesday as high pressure builds and skies turn partly cloudy. Official point forecasts center near 68–70 °F, while microclimate effects across the city and typical model spread create the observed market distribution: 68–69 °F leads at 39 % implied probability, followed by 66–67 °F (24.5 %) and 70–71 °F (20 %). Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while discounting outliers, given the short time horizon and limited scope for rapid change before resolution. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 22 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 22 de septiembre?
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 25%
70-71 °F 20%
64-65°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
61°F o menos
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
39%
70-71 °F
20%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F o más
<1%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 25%
70-71 °F 20%
64-65°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
61°F o menos
$342 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$269 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$431 Vol.
12%
66-67°F
$489 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$548 Vol.
39%
70-71 °F
$493 Vol.
20%
72-73°F
$236 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$44 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$4 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$99 Vol.
<1%
80°F o más
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position San Francisco’s September 22 high temperature in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the 68–70 °F range emerging as the most probable outcome.** A deepening marine layer and southwest flow have kept recent days cooler, but a gradual warming trend begins Tuesday as high pressure builds and skies turn partly cloudy. Official point forecasts center near 68–70 °F, while microclimate effects across the city and typical model spread create the observed market distribution: 68–69 °F leads at 39 % implied probability, followed by 66–67 °F (24.5 %) and 70–71 °F (20 %). Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while discounting outliers, given the short time horizon and limited scope for rapid change before resolution. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,049Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position San Francisco’s September 22 high temperature in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the 68–70 °F range emerging as the most probable outcome.** A deepening marine layer and southwest flow have kept recent days cooler, but a gradual warming trend begins Tuesday as high pressure builds and skies turn partly cloudy. Official point forecasts center near 68–70 °F, while microclimate effects across the city and typical model spread create the observed market distribution: 68–69 °F leads at 39 % implied probability, followed by 66–67 °F (24.5 %) and 70–71 °F (20 %). Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while discounting outliers, given the short time horizon and limited scope for rapid change before resolution. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,049Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position San Francisco’s September 22 high temperature in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the 68–70 °F range emerging as the most probable outcome.** A deepening marine layer and southwest flow have kept recent days cooler, but a gradual warming trend begins Tuesday as high pressure builds and skies turn partly cloudy. Official point forecasts center near 68–70 °F, while microclimate effects across the city and typical model spread create the observed market distribution: 68–69 °F leads at 39 % implied probability, followed by 66–67 °F (24.5 %) and 70–71 °F (20 %). Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while discounting outliers, given the short time horizon and limited scope for rapid change before resolution. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes