Forecast models from MetService and international sources converge on a 14–15°C high for Wellington on September 21 under strengthening northwesterly winds ahead of a southerly change. This places the outcome near the upper end of September climatology, where mean daily maxima average 12.5–14°C. Northerly flow from the Tasman Sea favors modest warming and clear conditions, while the approaching front limits further gains. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15°C, reflecting this consensus while assigning secondary weight to 16°C if winds peak earlier. Official temperature readings from Wellington’s primary stations will determine resolution, with the next model updates and real-time observations the key near-term drivers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 21 de septiembre?
15°C 64%
16°C 25%
14°C 11%
17°C 3%
NUEVO
$16,191 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,191 Vol.
21 sep 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
11%
15°C
64%
16°C
25%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
15°C 64%
16°C 25%
14°C 11%
17°C 3%
NUEVO
$16,191 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,191 Vol.
21 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$987 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$705 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$936 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,680 Vol.
11%
15°C
$4,770 Vol.
64%
16°C
$2,715 Vol.
25%
17°C
$1,036 Vol.
3%
18°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$462 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international sources converge on a 14–15°C high for Wellington on September 21 under strengthening northwesterly winds ahead of a southerly change. This places the outcome near the upper end of September climatology, where mean daily maxima average 12.5–14°C. Northerly flow from the Tasman Sea favors modest warming and clear conditions, while the approaching front limits further gains. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15°C, reflecting this consensus while assigning secondary weight to 16°C if winds peak earlier. Official temperature readings from Wellington’s primary stations will determine resolution, with the next model updates and real-time observations the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$16,191Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international sources converge on a 14–15°C high for Wellington on September 21 under strengthening northwesterly winds ahead of a southerly change. This places the outcome near the upper end of September climatology, where mean daily maxima average 12.5–14°C. Northerly flow from the Tasman Sea favors modest warming and clear conditions, while the approaching front limits further gains. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15°C, reflecting this consensus while assigning secondary weight to 16°C if winds peak earlier. Official temperature readings from Wellington’s primary stations will determine resolution, with the next model updates and real-time observations the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,191Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international sources converge on a 14–15°C high for Wellington on September 21 under strengthening northwesterly winds ahead of a southerly change. This places the outcome near the upper end of September climatology, where mean daily maxima average 12.5–14°C. Northerly flow from the Tasman Sea favors modest warming and clear conditions, while the approaching front limits further gains. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15°C, reflecting this consensus while assigning secondary weight to 16°C if winds peak earlier. Official temperature readings from Wellington’s primary stations will determine resolution, with the next model updates and real-time observations the key near-term drivers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes