Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Istanbul on September 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate northerly winds. This consensus aligns with surface station data showing afternoon temperatures stabilizing near that threshold after morning lows around 19°C, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. The 100% market-implied probability for 24°C reflects traders' confidence in verified observational records rather than longer-term projections. A rapid shift in cloud cover or an unforecasted marine air intrusion could theoretically alter the peak by 1–2°C, though current model agreement and real-time monitoring make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 20 de septiembre?
24°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,558 Vol.
$34,558 Vol.
20 sep 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
24°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,558 Vol.
$34,558 Vol.
20 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$96 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,742 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,572 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,677 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,504 Vol.
100%
25°C
$2,653 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$871 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,582 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$2,503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Istanbul on September 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate northerly winds. This consensus aligns with surface station data showing afternoon temperatures stabilizing near that threshold after morning lows around 19°C, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. The 100% market-implied probability for 24°C reflects traders' confidence in verified observational records rather than longer-term projections. A rapid shift in cloud cover or an unforecasted marine air intrusion could theoretically alter the peak by 1–2°C, though current model agreement and real-time monitoring make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$34,558Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Istanbul on September 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate northerly winds. This consensus aligns with surface station data showing afternoon temperatures stabilizing near that threshold after morning lows around 19°C, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. The 100% market-implied probability for 24°C reflects traders' confidence in verified observational records rather than longer-term projections. A rapid shift in cloud cover or an unforecasted marine air intrusion could theoretically alter the peak by 1–2°C, though current model agreement and real-time monitoring make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$34,558Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Istanbul on September 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate northerly winds. This consensus aligns with surface station data showing afternoon temperatures stabilizing near that threshold after morning lows around 19°C, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. The 100% market-implied probability for 24°C reflects traders' confidence in verified observational records rather than longer-term projections. A rapid shift in cloud cover or an unforecasted marine air intrusion could theoretically alter the peak by 1–2°C, though current model agreement and real-time monitoring make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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