**Latest official and model forecasts position 29°C as the most likely daily maximum for Shanghai on September 21, driving the 61% market-implied probability.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS-based guidance, project partly cloudy skies with northerly to northeasterly flow at 7–9 mph, yielding highs of 28–30°C (83–86°F) and minimal precipitation risk under moderate humidity around 60–70%. Recent observations from the prior day showed similar conditions with a 29°C peak, supporting model consensus for stable late-September subtropical weather without strong frontal or convective influences that could alter the outcome. Lower probabilities for 28°C or 30°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C, while extremes below 27°C or above 31°C remain improbable given current atmospheric patterns and climatological baselines. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 21 de septiembre?
29°C 64%
28°C 24%
30°C 9%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$23,949 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,949 Vol.
21 sep 2026
26°C o menos
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
24%
29°C
64%
30°C
9%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
29°C 64%
28°C 24%
30°C 9%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$23,949 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,949 Vol.
21 sep 2026
26°C o menos
$1,700 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,145 Vol.
5%
28°C
$6,451 Vol.
24%
29°C
$5,665 Vol.
64%
30°C
$2,354 Vol.
9%
31°C
$1,455 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,059 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$348 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
36°C o más
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model forecasts position 29°C as the most likely daily maximum for Shanghai on September 21, driving the 61% market-implied probability.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS-based guidance, project partly cloudy skies with northerly to northeasterly flow at 7–9 mph, yielding highs of 28–30°C (83–86°F) and minimal precipitation risk under moderate humidity around 60–70%. Recent observations from the prior day showed similar conditions with a 29°C peak, supporting model consensus for stable late-September subtropical weather without strong frontal or convective influences that could alter the outcome. Lower probabilities for 28°C or 30°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C, while extremes below 27°C or above 31°C remain improbable given current atmospheric patterns and climatological baselines. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$23,949Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model forecasts position 29°C as the most likely daily maximum for Shanghai on September 21, driving the 61% market-implied probability.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS-based guidance, project partly cloudy skies with northerly to northeasterly flow at 7–9 mph, yielding highs of 28–30°C (83–86°F) and minimal precipitation risk under moderate humidity around 60–70%. Recent observations from the prior day showed similar conditions with a 29°C peak, supporting model consensus for stable late-September subtropical weather without strong frontal or convective influences that could alter the outcome. Lower probabilities for 28°C or 30°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C, while extremes below 27°C or above 31°C remain improbable given current atmospheric patterns and climatological baselines. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,949Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official and model forecasts position 29°C as the most likely daily maximum for Shanghai on September 21, driving the 61% market-implied probability.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS-based guidance, project partly cloudy skies with northerly to northeasterly flow at 7–9 mph, yielding highs of 28–30°C (83–86°F) and minimal precipitation risk under moderate humidity around 60–70%. Recent observations from the prior day showed similar conditions with a 29°C peak, supporting model consensus for stable late-September subtropical weather without strong frontal or convective influences that could alter the outcome. Lower probabilities for 28°C or 30°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C, while extremes below 27°C or above 31°C remain improbable given current atmospheric patterns and climatological baselines. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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