Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate persistent westerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers over Warsaw on September 21, limiting daytime warming and supporting a highest temperature near 15 °C as the leading market outcome. Cool advection from the Atlantic, combined with high humidity and 50–90% precipitation chances, suppresses the diurnal temperature range compared with recent warmer days earlier in September. Model consensus points to afternoon highs of 14–16 °C under these conditions, explaining why 15 °C holds the highest implied probability while 14 °C and 16 °C remain viable alternatives. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will determine whether any brief clearing allows slight upward revision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 21 de septiembre?
15°C 44%
16°C 31%
14°C 23%
13°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
10°C o menos
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
23%
15°C
44%
16°C
31%
17°C
10%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C o más
2%
15°C 44%
16°C 31%
14°C 23%
13°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
23%
15°C
$139 Vol.
44%
16°C
$151 Vol.
31%
17°C
$0 Vol.
10%
18°C
$100 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate persistent westerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers over Warsaw on September 21, limiting daytime warming and supporting a highest temperature near 15 °C as the leading market outcome. Cool advection from the Atlantic, combined with high humidity and 50–90% precipitation chances, suppresses the diurnal temperature range compared with recent warmer days earlier in September. Model consensus points to afternoon highs of 14–16 °C under these conditions, explaining why 15 °C holds the highest implied probability while 14 °C and 16 °C remain viable alternatives. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will determine whether any brief clearing allows slight upward revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$390Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate persistent westerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers over Warsaw on September 21, limiting daytime warming and supporting a highest temperature near 15 °C as the leading market outcome. Cool advection from the Atlantic, combined with high humidity and 50–90% precipitation chances, suppresses the diurnal temperature range compared with recent warmer days earlier in September. Model consensus points to afternoon highs of 14–16 °C under these conditions, explaining why 15 °C holds the highest implied probability while 14 °C and 16 °C remain viable alternatives. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will determine whether any brief clearing allows slight upward revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$390Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate persistent westerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers over Warsaw on September 21, limiting daytime warming and supporting a highest temperature near 15 °C as the leading market outcome. Cool advection from the Atlantic, combined with high humidity and 50–90% precipitation chances, suppresses the diurnal temperature range compared with recent warmer days earlier in September. Model consensus points to afternoon highs of 14–16 °C under these conditions, explaining why 15 °C holds the highest implied probability while 14 °C and 16 °C remain viable alternatives. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will determine whether any brief clearing allows slight upward revision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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