Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and Yr.no converge on a daytime high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 21, driven by a shift to northerly winds and partial afternoon clearing after overnight showers. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs hover around 14–16°C, and supports the market's leading 16°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Model runs show limited warming potential due to modest insolation and residual cloud cover, keeping 17°C (30%) plausible only with stronger clearing while capping upside at 18°C or higher (under 5% combined). Traders appear to weigh these consensus model outputs and historical analogs heavily ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 21 de septiembre?
16°C 45%
17°C 30%
15°C 19%
14°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
19%
16°C
45%
17°C
30%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C o más
1%
16°C 45%
17°C 30%
15°C 19%
14°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$197 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$499 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$81 Vol.
1%
13°C
$31 Vol.
2%
14°C
$8 Vol.
4%
15°C
$389 Vol.
19%
16°C
$1,173 Vol.
45%
17°C
$625 Vol.
30%
18°C
$276 Vol.
4%
19°C
$62 Vol.
2%
20°C o más
$181 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and Yr.no converge on a daytime high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 21, driven by a shift to northerly winds and partial afternoon clearing after overnight showers. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs hover around 14–16°C, and supports the market's leading 16°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Model runs show limited warming potential due to modest insolation and residual cloud cover, keeping 17°C (30%) plausible only with stronger clearing while capping upside at 18°C or higher (under 5% combined). Traders appear to weigh these consensus model outputs and historical analogs heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$3,522Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and Yr.no converge on a daytime high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 21, driven by a shift to northerly winds and partial afternoon clearing after overnight showers. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs hover around 14–16°C, and supports the market's leading 16°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Model runs show limited warming potential due to modest insolation and residual cloud cover, keeping 17°C (30%) plausible only with stronger clearing while capping upside at 18°C or higher (under 5% combined). Traders appear to weigh these consensus model outputs and historical analogs heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,522Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and Yr.no converge on a daytime high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 21, driven by a shift to northerly winds and partial afternoon clearing after overnight showers. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs hover around 14–16°C, and supports the market's leading 16°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Model runs show limited warming potential due to modest insolation and residual cloud cover, keeping 17°C (30%) plausible only with stronger clearing while capping upside at 18°C or higher (under 5% combined). Traders appear to weigh these consensus model outputs and historical analogs heavily ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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