Recent atmospheric conditions over southern China, including moderate southerly flow and partly cloudy skies with afternoon convection potential, position Shenzhen for a peak temperature near 33°C on September 20. Official guidance and ensemble models align closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-September subtropical monsoon patterns where daily highs average 31–32°C but can reach the low 30s under limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable conditions with minimal rainfall in the prior 48 hours, supporting trader consensus around 32–34°C while capping upside risk from stronger heating. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 20 de septiembre?
33°C 43%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 7%
$19,376 Vol.
$19,376 Vol.
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
28%
33°C
43%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 7%
$19,376 Vol.
$19,376 Vol.
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
28%
33°C
43%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions over southern China, including moderate southerly flow and partly cloudy skies with afternoon convection potential, position Shenzhen for a peak temperature near 33°C on September 20. Official guidance and ensemble models align closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-September subtropical monsoon patterns where daily highs average 31–32°C but can reach the low 30s under limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable conditions with minimal rainfall in the prior 48 hours, supporting trader consensus around 32–34°C while capping upside risk from stronger heating. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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