Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through September 15, 2026, show D4 exceptional drought covering 1.7% of the contiguous United States, concentrated in Texas (3.6% of the state) amid flash drought intensification across the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley driven by record summer heat and prolonged dryness since June. The warmest June–August on record sustained soil moisture deficits and evaporative demand, with limited improvement expected before late September as models favor continued above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall in central and southern regions. An emerging El Niño may eventually favor wetter conditions across the southern tier, yet near-term persistence or modest expansion of D4 areas hinges on the next weekly assessment’s precipitation observations and expert classification thresholds. This scientific uncertainty around the precise geographic extent of exceptional drought supports the market’s even distribution across state-count bins for the September 22 week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos estados estarán en D4 (sequía excepcional) — semana del 22 de septiembre de 2026?
¿Cuántos estados estarán en D4 (sequía excepcional) — semana del 22 de septiembre de 2026?
1-2 estados 50.0%
3-4 estados 50.0%
5-6 estados 50.0%
7-9 estados 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 sep 2026
0 estados
1%
1-2 estados
50%
3-4 estados
50%
5-6 estados
50%
7-9 estados
50%
10 o más estados
50%
1-2 estados 50.0%
3-4 estados 50.0%
5-6 estados 50.0%
7-9 estados 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 sep 2026
0 estados
$25 Vol.
1%
1-2 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
3-4 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
5-6 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
7-9 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
10 o más estados
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through September 15, 2026, show D4 exceptional drought covering 1.7% of the contiguous United States, concentrated in Texas (3.6% of the state) amid flash drought intensification across the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley driven by record summer heat and prolonged dryness since June. The warmest June–August on record sustained soil moisture deficits and evaporative demand, with limited improvement expected before late September as models favor continued above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall in central and southern regions. An emerging El Niño may eventually favor wetter conditions across the southern tier, yet near-term persistence or modest expansion of D4 areas hinges on the next weekly assessment’s precipitation observations and expert classification thresholds. This scientific uncertainty around the precise geographic extent of exceptional drought supports the market’s even distribution across state-count bins for the September 22 week.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through September 15, 2026, show D4 exceptional drought covering 1.7% of the contiguous United States, concentrated in Texas (3.6% of the state) amid flash drought intensification across the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley driven by record summer heat and prolonged dryness since June. The warmest June–August on record sustained soil moisture deficits and evaporative demand, with limited improvement expected before late September as models favor continued above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall in central and southern regions. An emerging El Niño may eventually favor wetter conditions across the southern tier, yet near-term persistence or modest expansion of D4 areas hinges on the next weekly assessment’s precipitation observations and expert classification thresholds. This scientific uncertainty around the precise geographic extent of exceptional drought supports the market’s even distribution across state-count bins for the September 22 week.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through September 15, 2026, show D4 exceptional drought covering 1.7% of the contiguous United States, concentrated in Texas (3.6% of the state) amid flash drought intensification across the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley driven by record summer heat and prolonged dryness since June. The warmest June–August on record sustained soil moisture deficits and evaporative demand, with limited improvement expected before late September as models favor continued above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall in central and southern regions. An emerging El Niño may eventually favor wetter conditions across the southern tier, yet near-term persistence or modest expansion of D4 areas hinges on the next weekly assessment’s precipitation observations and expert classification thresholds. This scientific uncertainty around the precise geographic extent of exceptional drought supports the market’s even distribution across state-count bins for the September 22 week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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