Persistent northeasterly flow and associated marine air mass are keeping New York City temperatures suppressed for September 22, with official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus centering highs in the mid-60s amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. This setup limits daytime insolation and favors the market’s leading 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, whose near-even implied probabilities reflect modest forecast spread in maximum temperatures. Cooler-than-normal conditions follow recent frontal passages, with historical September averages near 75°F underscoring the anomaly. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and afternoon observations for any late-day clearing that could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 22 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 22 de septiembre?
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 41%
62-63°F 10%
68-69°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57 °F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
41%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F o más
<1%
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 41%
62-63°F 10%
68-69°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
55°F o menos
$103 Vol.
<1%
56-57 °F
$186 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$314 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$374 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$1,408 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$1,931 Vol.
41%
66-67°F
$2,223 Vol.
48%
68-69°F
$423 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$226 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$281 Vol.
<1%
74°F o más
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly flow and associated marine air mass are keeping New York City temperatures suppressed for September 22, with official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus centering highs in the mid-60s amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. This setup limits daytime insolation and favors the market’s leading 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, whose near-even implied probabilities reflect modest forecast spread in maximum temperatures. Cooler-than-normal conditions follow recent frontal passages, with historical September averages near 75°F underscoring the anomaly. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and afternoon observations for any late-day clearing that could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volumen
$7,580Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly flow and associated marine air mass are keeping New York City temperatures suppressed for September 22, with official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus centering highs in the mid-60s amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. This setup limits daytime insolation and favors the market’s leading 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, whose near-even implied probabilities reflect modest forecast spread in maximum temperatures. Cooler-than-normal conditions follow recent frontal passages, with historical September averages near 75°F underscoring the anomaly. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and afternoon observations for any late-day clearing that could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,580Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent northeasterly flow and associated marine air mass are keeping New York City temperatures suppressed for September 22, with official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus centering highs in the mid-60s amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. This setup limits daytime insolation and favors the market’s leading 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, whose near-even implied probabilities reflect modest forecast spread in maximum temperatures. Cooler-than-normal conditions follow recent frontal passages, with historical September averages near 75°F underscoring the anomaly. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and afternoon observations for any late-day clearing that could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes