Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 11 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 11 de julio?
21°C 40%
22°C 29%
20°C 17%
19°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jul 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
17%
21°C
40%
22°C
29%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 29%
20°C 17%
19°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jul 2026
18°C or below
$737 Vol.
2%
19°C
$400 Vol.
6%
20°C
$1,987 Vol.
17%
21°C
$532 Vol.
40%
22°C
$1,150 Vol.
29%
23°C
$550 Vol.
4%
24°C
$233 Vol.
2%
25°C
$450 Vol.
1%
26°C
$544 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$6,816Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,816Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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