MetService's latest forecast points to an 11°C maximum for Wellington on July 12 under clearing skies and light northerly flow, anchoring the near-even market split between the 11°C and 12°C outcomes. Mid-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 11–12°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the strength and timing of southerly changes, cloud cover, and wind exposure at the airport site used for official readings. NIWA seasonal guidance for the region favors near- or below-average temperatures through July, consistent with current model runs showing limited warming potential. Traders weigh these factors against historical scatter in early-July maxima, where small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can easily separate an 11°C from a 12°C reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 12 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 12 de julio?
11°C 49%
12°C 26%
10°C 23%
9°C 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
4%
10°C
23%
11°C
49%
12°C
26%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 49%
12°C 26%
10°C 23%
9°C 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
5°C or below
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$385 Vol.
4%
10°C
$985 Vol.
23%
11°C
$1,830 Vol.
49%
12°C
$836 Vol.
26%
13°C
$291 Vol.
3%
14°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.MetService's latest forecast points to an 11°C maximum for Wellington on July 12 under clearing skies and light northerly flow, anchoring the near-even market split between the 11°C and 12°C outcomes. Mid-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 11–12°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the strength and timing of southerly changes, cloud cover, and wind exposure at the airport site used for official readings. NIWA seasonal guidance for the region favors near- or below-average temperatures through July, consistent with current model runs showing limited warming potential. Traders weigh these factors against historical scatter in early-July maxima, where small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can easily separate an 11°C from a 12°C reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$7,210Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.MetService's latest forecast points to an 11°C maximum for Wellington on July 12 under clearing skies and light northerly flow, anchoring the near-even market split between the 11°C and 12°C outcomes. Mid-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 11–12°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the strength and timing of southerly changes, cloud cover, and wind exposure at the airport site used for official readings. NIWA seasonal guidance for the region favors near- or below-average temperatures through July, consistent with current model runs showing limited warming potential. Traders weigh these factors against historical scatter in early-July maxima, where small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can easily separate an 11°C from a 12°C reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,210Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast points to an 11°C maximum for Wellington on July 12 under clearing skies and light northerly flow, anchoring the near-even market split between the 11°C and 12°C outcomes. Mid-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 11–12°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the strength and timing of southerly changes, cloud cover, and wind exposure at the airport site used for official readings. NIWA seasonal guidance for the region favors near- or below-average temperatures through July, consistent with current model runs showing limited warming potential. Traders weigh these factors against historical scatter in early-July maxima, where small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can easily separate an 11°C from a 12°C reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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