Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows that magnitude 5.5 and greater earthquakes typically occur at a baseline rate of roughly 15–30 events per week worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic activity along major fault systems and subduction zones. This established frequency, confirmed through long-term catalogs, underpins trader consensus favoring more than nine such events in the June 8–14 window. Recent isolated activity, including a magnitude 5.7 quake off the Oregon coast on June 3, aligns with normal variability rather than signaling any shift. While short-term counts can fluctuate due to aftershock sequences or quiet periods, new USGS updates or an unforeseen swarm represent the main factors that could realistically adjust the distribution before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más del 8 al 14 de junio?
¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más del 8 al 14 de junio?
>9 95%
8 2.9%
9 1.6%
6 1.0%
$26,015 Vol.
$26,015 Vol.
15 jun 2026
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
1%
7
1%
8
3%
9
2%
>9
95%
>9 95%
8 2.9%
9 1.6%
6 1.0%
$26,015 Vol.
$26,015 Vol.
15 jun 2026
≤3
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
4
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
5
$3,737 Vol.
<1%
6
$3,275 Vol.
1%
7
$2,373 Vol.
1%
8
$2,496 Vol.
3%
9
$2,579 Vol.
2%
>9
$5,901 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows that magnitude 5.5 and greater earthquakes typically occur at a baseline rate of roughly 15–30 events per week worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic activity along major fault systems and subduction zones. This established frequency, confirmed through long-term catalogs, underpins trader consensus favoring more than nine such events in the June 8–14 window. Recent isolated activity, including a magnitude 5.7 quake off the Oregon coast on June 3, aligns with normal variability rather than signaling any shift. While short-term counts can fluctuate due to aftershock sequences or quiet periods, new USGS updates or an unforeseen swarm represent the main factors that could realistically adjust the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$26,015Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows that magnitude 5.5 and greater earthquakes typically occur at a baseline rate of roughly 15–30 events per week worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic activity along major fault systems and subduction zones. This established frequency, confirmed through long-term catalogs, underpins trader consensus favoring more than nine such events in the June 8–14 window. Recent isolated activity, including a magnitude 5.7 quake off the Oregon coast on June 3, aligns with normal variability rather than signaling any shift. While short-term counts can fluctuate due to aftershock sequences or quiet periods, new USGS updates or an unforeseen swarm represent the main factors that could realistically adjust the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$26,015Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows that magnitude 5.5 and greater earthquakes typically occur at a baseline rate of roughly 15–30 events per week worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic activity along major fault systems and subduction zones. This established frequency, confirmed through long-term catalogs, underpins trader consensus favoring more than nine such events in the June 8–14 window. Recent isolated activity, including a magnitude 5.7 quake off the Oregon coast on June 3, aligns with normal variability rather than signaling any shift. While short-term counts can fluctuate due to aftershock sequences or quiet periods, new USGS updates or an unforeseen swarm represent the main factors that could realistically adjust the distribution before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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