Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 11 de junio?
¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 11 de junio?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F o menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 Vol.
$16,371 Vol.
11 jun 2026
67°F o menos
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Sí
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F o más
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F o menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 Vol.
$16,371 Vol.
11 jun 2026
67°F o menos
$1,338 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,611 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,363 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,069 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,421 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,302 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,943 Vol.
Sí
80-81°F
$1,688 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,205 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,134 Vol.
No
86°F o más
$1,297 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
Volumen
$16,371Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,371Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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