A strengthening El Niño, confirmed by recent atmospheric observations, is suppressing Atlantic hurricane activity through increased vertical wind shear and altered steering patterns, driving consensus toward a below-normal 2026 season. NOAA’s May outlook projects 3–6 hurricanes with 70% confidence, while Colorado State University’s July update lowered its forecast to 4 hurricanes amid the evolving El Niño. As of July 24, only two tropical storms (Arthur and Bertha) have formed, yielding minimal Accumulated Cyclone Energy well below the 1991–2020 average. Peak-season months (August–October) remain critical, with traders watching updated ENSO indices, National Hurricane Center model runs, and any late-July disturbances that could alter totals before resolution on November 30.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos huracanes se formarán durante la temporada de huracanes del Atlántico en 2026?
¿Cuántos huracanes se formarán durante la temporada de huracanes del Atlántico en 2026?
NUEVO
1 dic 2026
1-3
50%
4-6
42%
Más de 7
12%
0
26%
$0.00 Vol.
1-3
$0 Vol.
50%
4-6
$0 Vol.
42%
Más de 7
$0 Vol.
12%
0
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.A strengthening El Niño, confirmed by recent atmospheric observations, is suppressing Atlantic hurricane activity through increased vertical wind shear and altered steering patterns, driving consensus toward a below-normal 2026 season. NOAA’s May outlook projects 3–6 hurricanes with 70% confidence, while Colorado State University’s July update lowered its forecast to 4 hurricanes amid the evolving El Niño. As of July 24, only two tropical storms (Arthur and Bertha) have formed, yielding minimal Accumulated Cyclone Energy well below the 1991–2020 average. Peak-season months (August–October) remain critical, with traders watching updated ENSO indices, National Hurricane Center model runs, and any late-July disturbances that could alter totals before resolution on November 30.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.A strengthening El Niño, confirmed by recent atmospheric observations, is suppressing Atlantic hurricane activity through increased vertical wind shear and altered steering patterns, driving consensus toward a below-normal 2026 season. NOAA’s May outlook projects 3–6 hurricanes with 70% confidence, while Colorado State University’s July update lowered its forecast to 4 hurricanes amid the evolving El Niño. As of July 24, only two tropical storms (Arthur and Bertha) have formed, yielding minimal Accumulated Cyclone Energy well below the 1991–2020 average. Peak-season months (August–October) remain critical, with traders watching updated ENSO indices, National Hurricane Center model runs, and any late-July disturbances that could alter totals before resolution on November 30.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A strengthening El Niño, confirmed by recent atmospheric observations, is suppressing Atlantic hurricane activity through increased vertical wind shear and altered steering patterns, driving consensus toward a below-normal 2026 season. NOAA’s May outlook projects 3–6 hurricanes with 70% confidence, while Colorado State University’s July update lowered its forecast to 4 hurricanes amid the evolving El Niño. As of July 24, only two tropical storms (Arthur and Bertha) have formed, yielding minimal Accumulated Cyclone Energy well below the 1991–2020 average. Peak-season months (August–October) remain critical, with traders watching updated ENSO indices, National Hurricane Center model runs, and any late-July disturbances that could alter totals before resolution on November 30.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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