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Política·Krakao

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia
Política·Krakao

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia

Łukasz Gibała 55%

Monika Piątkowska 15%

Rafał Komarewicz 10%

Sławomir Pietrzyk 8.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Łukasz Gibała 55%

Monika Piątkowska 15%

Rafał Komarewicz 10%

Sławomir Pietrzyk 8.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$4,983 Vol.

55%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$106 Vol.

15%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$180 Vol.

10%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$153 Vol.

9%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$58 Vol.

9%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$58 Vol.

8%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$156 Vol.

7%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$115 Vol.

7%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$158 Vol.

6%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$349 Vol.

6%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$199 Vol.

6%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$229 Vol.

5%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$216 Vol.

5%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$154 Vol.

5%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$146 Vol.

4%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$132 Vol.

2%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$153 Vol.

1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with a clear edge in trader pricing ahead of the September 27, 2026 first-round vote, driven by his established local organization, narrow 2024 runoff loss to the recalled incumbent, and strong positioning after the May 2026 recall referendum that ousted Aleksander Miszalski. Recent June polling placed Gibała ahead, though short of a first-round majority, amid a crowded field that includes Monika Piątkowska, Daria Gosek-Popiołek, and multiple lower-polling independents and party nominees. The fragmented opposition and anti-incumbent momentum from the referendum have concentrated support around Gibała’s Kraków for Residents committee, while other candidates trail with limited name recognition or narrower bases. Upcoming candidate confirmations and any late polling shifts remain the main variables that could alter the current consensus.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volumen
$7,543
Fecha de finalización
27 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with a clear edge in trader pricing ahead of the September 27, 2026 first-round vote, driven by his established local organization, narrow 2024 runoff loss to the recalled incumbent, and strong positioning after the May 2026 recall referendum that ousted Aleksander Miszalski. Recent June polling placed Gibała ahead, though short of a first-round majority, amid a crowded field that includes Monika Piątkowska, Daria Gosek-Popiołek, and multiple lower-polling independents and party nominees. The fragmented opposition and anti-incumbent momentum from the referendum have concentrated support around Gibała’s Kraków for Residents committee, while other candidates trail with limited name recognition or narrower bases. Upcoming candidate confirmations and any late polling shifts remain the main variables that could alter the current consensus.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volumen
$7,543
Fecha de finalización
27 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Łukasz Gibała" con 55%, seguido de "Monika Piątkowska" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 6, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia" es "Łukasz Gibała" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Monika Piątkowska" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.