Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 13, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–33°C. Overnight lows are projected around 14–16°C based on hourly guidance showing stabilization near 15°C by early morning, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Trader sentiment remains split, with the 12°C-or-below outcome leading at 44% implied probability amid model spread on minimum dew points and boundary-layer mixing, while the 22°C-or-higher bin sits at 37.5%. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish meteorological station reading, with limited precipitation risk or frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 13 de septiembre?
22°C o más 75%
16°C 39%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
12°C o menos
44%
13°C
24%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
39%
17°C
24%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C o más
75%
22°C o más 75%
16°C 39%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
12°C o menos
44%
13°C
24%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
39%
17°C
24%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C o más
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 13, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–33°C. Overnight lows are projected around 14–16°C based on hourly guidance showing stabilization near 15°C by early morning, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Trader sentiment remains split, with the 12°C-or-below outcome leading at 44% implied probability amid model spread on minimum dew points and boundary-layer mixing, while the 22°C-or-higher bin sits at 37.5%. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish meteorological station reading, with limited precipitation risk or frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes