Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town will see a minimum temperature near 15°C on September 12, with overnight readings holding around 15–16°C under persistent overcast skies, southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and light drizzle potential that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong 80.5% implied probability for 15°C and secondary support for 14°C, as the marine-influenced air mass and cloud cover prevent the sharper drops typical of clearer September nights, when averages reach about 11°C. No major cold-air advection or high-pressure setup is expected to push readings to 13°C or below, keeping those outcomes at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de septiembre?
15°C 99%
14°C 95%
13°C 10%
12°C o menos <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
10%
14°C
95%
15°C
83%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
15°C 99%
14°C 95%
13°C 10%
12°C o menos <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$80 Vol.
95%
15°C
$96 Vol.
83%
16°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town will see a minimum temperature near 15°C on September 12, with overnight readings holding around 15–16°C under persistent overcast skies, southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and light drizzle potential that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong 80.5% implied probability for 15°C and secondary support for 14°C, as the marine-influenced air mass and cloud cover prevent the sharper drops typical of clearer September nights, when averages reach about 11°C. No major cold-air advection or high-pressure setup is expected to push readings to 13°C or below, keeping those outcomes at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$782Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town will see a minimum temperature near 15°C on September 12, with overnight readings holding around 15–16°C under persistent overcast skies, southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and light drizzle potential that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong 80.5% implied probability for 15°C and secondary support for 14°C, as the marine-influenced air mass and cloud cover prevent the sharper drops typical of clearer September nights, when averages reach about 11°C. No major cold-air advection or high-pressure setup is expected to push readings to 13°C or below, keeping those outcomes at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$782Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town will see a minimum temperature near 15°C on September 12, with overnight readings holding around 15–16°C under persistent overcast skies, southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and light drizzle potential that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong 80.5% implied probability for 15°C and secondary support for 14°C, as the marine-influenced air mass and cloud cover prevent the sharper drops typical of clearer September nights, when averages reach about 11°C. No major cold-air advection or high-pressure setup is expected to push readings to 13°C or below, keeping those outcomes at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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